trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 100% | 0% | -7.8% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +31.5% | +18.9% | 100% | 60% | +32.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +29.5% | +17.2% | 88% | 62% | -8.7% |
| all | 29 | -14.4% | -22.5% | 59% | 31% | -10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.5% | 31% | -10.2% |
| 10% | -30.0% | 31% | -18.8% |
| 15% | -36.7% | 28% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -42.9% | 17% | -33.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 ( | Jun 16 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 08 | $15 | +$9 | +63% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? | Jun 01 | $14 | +$6 | +41% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21? | May 25 | $11 | +$5 | +50% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 15 | $2,826 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentar | Apr 13 | $10 | +$3 | +32% |
| Flames vs. Golden Knights | Apr 06 | $11 | +$5 | +47% |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13? | Mar 16 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 19 | $1,299 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Feb 19 | $1,301 | −$1 | -0% |
| Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5 | Feb 03 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | Feb 03 | $12 | +$4 | +36% |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) | Jan 20 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Toulouse FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score | Jan 05 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5) | Dec 15 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix? | Dec 10 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will another team win La Liga? | Dec 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April? | Dec 10 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Cardinals vs. Reds | Dec 10 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority? | May 19 | $13 | +$7 | +54% |
| Will the Conservatives win more than 210 seats in the next Canadian El | May 02 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days? | May 02 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Pamela Bondi be out as Attorney General in Trump's first 100 days | May 02 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Titans draft Travis Hunter in 2025? | Apr 29 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Patriots make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | Apr 29 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kanye name his token Hitler? | Apr 15 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 15 | $8 | +$7 | +92% |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix? | Apr 15 | $9 | +$6 | +61% |