Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:47:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb154…0f3a
crypto · 1672 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$607 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$607 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$607
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses889 / 782
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1671 / 1672
History coverage35d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day51.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1671 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$113
7 days+$1
14 days−$32
30 days−$566
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$578
world 0% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 348 +4.1% -5.8% 57% 57% -9.5%
≤30d 1435 -2.4% -11.7% 53% 53% -14.3%
≤90d 1671 -2.6% -11.9% 53% 53% -13.3%
all 1671 -2.6% -11.9% 53% 53% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 53% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 53% -21.6%
15% -28.0% 53% -29.2%
20% -35.1% 53% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records