trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 63¢ | 64¢ | $6 | $6 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Over | 67¢ | 60¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-10%) |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 | Over | 42¢ | 32¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-23%) |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Yes | 14¢ | 4¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-68%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$5 | +107% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$3 | +291% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +48% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +53.5% | +38.9% | 57% | 57% | +31.1% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +53.5% | +38.9% | 57% | 57% | +31.1% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +53.5% | +38.9% | 57% | 57% | +31.1% |
| all | 7 | +53.5% | +38.9% | 57% | 57% | +31.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +38.9% | 57% | +31.1% |
| 10% | +25.6% | 57% | +18.5% |
| 15% | +13.5% | 57% | +7.1% |
| 20% | +2.4% | 29% | -3.4% |