Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:56:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B1 0xb13d…62bb crypto 1502 markets active 4d ago coverage 25d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d only
✗ bot/MM pace (137 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$54 (-3%) realized −$54 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate25%395W / 1208L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day136.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$92
7 days−$128
14 days−$133
30 days−$220
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$128
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (137 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 240 -61.5% -65.2% 10% 10% -62.1%
≤30d 1603 -14.1% -22.3% 25% 23% -21.5%
≤90d 1603 -14.1% -22.3% 25% 23% -21.5%
all 1603 -14.1% -22.3% 25% 23% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover136.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.3% 23% -21.5%
10% ← realistic here -29.8% 22% -29.1%
15% -36.5% 20% -35.9%
20% -42.8% 19% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -22% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$1 · ×2.33 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$54
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses395 / 1208
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1603 / 1502
History coverage25d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day136.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1603 Trades
no open positions (411 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 9¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records