Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T06:52:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb13b…6141
sports · 27 markets active 2d ago
5.5score
+$9 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Chart Positions 2 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days+$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? Yes 36¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder Lakers 13¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5 Over 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? Yes 44¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Knicks Celtics 40¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
FC Bayern München leading at halftime? Yes 18¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10? Yes 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? Yes 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Cavaliers Pistons 41¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Yes 20¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Suns Warriors 42¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Cavaliers Pistons 39¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Lakers Lakers 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 +$4 +83%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $8 +$4 +48%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 07 $4 +$5 +123%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 16 $5 +$7 +132%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 14 $7 +$5 +67%
Thunder vs. Lakers May 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? May 10 $2 $0 -22%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? May 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Lakers vs. Thunder May 07 $2 −$2 -98%
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score May 06 $2 $0 +5%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $5 −$2 -31%
FC Bayern München leading at halftime? May 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $1 $0 +48%
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5 May 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Warriors vs. Suns Apr 17 $3 −$3 -98%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? Apr 15 $1 +$15 +1503%
Heat vs. Hornets Apr 15 $2 +$1 +66%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? Apr 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the Apr 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12? Apr 13 $2 +$3 +165%
Lakers vs. Warriors Apr 10 $2 $0 +22%
Celtics vs. Knicks Apr 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% $0
other 29% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $5 41h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 92¢ $8 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks $2 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks $1 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 15¢ $1 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 80¢ $2 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 57¢ $3 3d
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 3d
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $3 4d
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 68¢ $4 8d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $2 9d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $2 9d
Pistons vs. Cavaliers SELL Pistons 93¢ $6 27d
Pistons vs. Cavaliers SELL Pistons 92¢ $6 27d
Pistons vs. Cavaliers BUY Pistons 39¢ $5 27d
Cavaliers vs. Pistons SELL Pistons $0 29d
Cavaliers vs. Pistons BUY Pistons 15¢ $1 29d
Cavaliers vs. Pistons SELL Cavaliers 57¢ $3 29d
Cavaliers vs. Pistons SELL Pistons 95¢ $5 29d
Cavaliers vs. Pistons SELL Pistons 83¢ $3 29d
Cavaliers vs. Pistons BUY Cavaliers 17¢ $1 29d
Cavaliers vs. Pistons BUY Pistons 55¢ $5 29d
Thunder vs. Lakers BUY Lakers 18¢ $1 31d
Pistons vs. Cavaliers BUY Pistons 41¢ $4 31d
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 32d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 31¢ $2 32d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 33d
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 33d
Pistons vs. Cavaliers BUY Pistons 39¢ $2 33d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+26.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +84.3% +66.8% 100% 100% +58.8%
≤30d 5 +90.5% +72.4% 100% 100% +65.9%
≤90d 25 +39.4% +26.1% 44% 40% +1.2%
all 25 +39.4% +26.1% 44% 40% +1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +26.1% 40% +1.2%
10% +14.0% 40% -8.5%
15% +3.0% 36% -17.3%
20% -7.1% 28% -25.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.67 · official $9.67 (match) · 55 history records