Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:12:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb135…9b0e
sports · 802 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$195 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$187 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized−$187
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses315 / 481
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions6
Markets (closed)796 / 802
History coverage43d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day29.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 6 History 796 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$117
14 days−$125
30 days−$152
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 44¢ $7 $5 −$2 (-25%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 49¢ 51¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 75¢ 64¢ $4 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers 46¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5 Under 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Eternal Fire 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-30? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Team Falcons 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 3? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 2? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage Guara Esports 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) New York Yankees 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 2? No 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winner TDK 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Milwaukee Brewers 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $5 +$5 +88%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $4 +$2 +42%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $10 −$1 -15%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $14 −$4 -32%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $4 +$4 +79%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $14 −$5 -37%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6 +$3 +43%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $7 +$4 +67%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $5 +$4 +97%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $9 −$5 -51%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $6 +$6 +99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $8 +$7 +88%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $9 −$9 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $11 −$5 -48%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $7 −$1 -20%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 11 $6 −$5 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $8 +$7 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 10 $1 +$1 +90%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $1 +$2 +134%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $1 +$1 +79%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Jun 10 $1 +$1 +97%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $1 +$2 +140%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 10 $1 +$1 +90%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 09 $6 −$1 -18%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 09 $3 +$3 +90%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 09 $6 +$6 +99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $17 −$6 -37%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $6 +$6 +107%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% −$103
other 11% −$26
weather 10% −$36
politics 2% −$14
crypto 2% −$7
world 1% −$4
economics 0% −$1
tech 0% −$1
culture 0% −$1
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $4 7m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox SELL Boston Red Sox 98¢ $5 20m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox SELL Boston Red Sox 98¢ $5 20m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 75¢ $5 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 99¢ $10 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 67¢ $2 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 42¢ $1 2h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 60¢ $4 2h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 48¢ $4 3h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 52¢ $1 4h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 52¢ $4 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 10h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $4 10h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $4 19h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL New York Mets 98¢ $4 19h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL New York Mets 98¢ $10 19h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $19 20h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 54¢ $4 20h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 47¢ $4 21h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 49¢ $1 22h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 96¢ $17 22h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 68¢ $4 22h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $4 22h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 48¢ $1 22h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 45¢ $4 23h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 62¢ $1 23h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 56¢ $1 23h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 44¢ $1 23h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 49¢ $4 23h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 54¢ $4 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-21.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 -39.2% -45.0% 29% 27% -41.3%
≤30d 759 -11.1% -19.6% 40% 40% -22.5%
≤90d 796 -12.8% -21.1% 40% 39% -24.6%
all 796 -12.8% -21.1% 40% 39% -24.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.1% 39% -24.6%
10% ← realistic here -28.7% 38% -31.9%
15% -35.6% 36% -38.4%
20% -41.9% 34% -44.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.95 · official $22.95 (match) · 1509 history records