Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:38:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb135…b9fe
other · 141 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$1,025 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,034 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$79
Realized+$1,034
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses23 / 114
Whale WR (big bets)6%
Est. fees paid−$72
Open positions4
Markets (closed)137 / 141
History coverage30d
Avg bet$232
Trades / day23.8
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit26%
Chart Positions 4 History 137 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$435
7 days−$284
14 days−$123
30 days+$767
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $66 $63 −$3 (-5%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 54¢ 62¢ $10 $11 +$2 (+16%)
Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $9 $4 −$4 (-48%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 51¢ 62¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $154 $0 −$154 (-100%)
Will Wales win on 2026-06-06? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Over 23¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5 Over 5¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-05? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $167 $0 −$167 (-100%)
Will SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Will Singapore win on 2026-05-31? No 2¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-06-03? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Myanmar win on 2026-06-06? No 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-24? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $257 $0 −$257 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19? No 58¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev Nuno Borges 28¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Will Guam win on 2026-06-03? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-98%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-05-30? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $639 −$14 -2%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $22 −$2 -10%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $72 −$4 -5%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $170 −$104 -61%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $62 −$11 -18%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 12 $7 −$3 -37%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1,052 −$17 -2%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1,000 −$5 -0%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $704 −$38 -5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $389 −$18 -4%
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $1,980 −$97 -5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $169 −$3 -2%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $518 −$20 -4%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $536 −$19 -4%
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $8 $0 -5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? Jun 11 $58 −$3 -6%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $71 −$3 -5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $91 −$4 -4%
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $174 −$18 -10%
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $476 −$9 -2%
Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cu Jun 11 $77 −$13 -17%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1,557 −$29 -2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $12 −$2 -19%
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $67 −$8 -12%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $4 −$1 -14%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $1,614 −$64 -4%
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $14 −$3 -19%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $23 −$2 -8%
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $145 −$26 -18%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 09 $152 −$12 -8%
Will Angola win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $37 −$10 -26%
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $1,159 −$117 -10%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $394 +$106 +27%
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $33 −$2 -5%
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $267 −$31 -12%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $150 −$10 -6%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 09 $7 +$17 +238%
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Jun 09 $98 −$96 -98%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $33 −$5 -15%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 09 $11 −$3 -23%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $35 −$4 -12%
Will Jordan vs. Colombia end in a draw? Jun 07 $72 −$13 -19%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $103 −$4 -4%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $155 −$119 -77%
Will Australia vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 06 $128 +$372 +291%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 06 $110 −$4 -3%
Will Wales win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $47 −$46 -98%
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $98 −$6 -6%
Will Myanmar win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 −$3 -89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 73% +$923
sports 10% +$88
crypto 10% −$12
politics 6% +$51
world 1% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 51m
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $4 58m
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $2 1h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $76 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 92¢ $459 1h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $23 1h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $19 1h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $11 1h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $11 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 46¢ $20 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 46¢ $2 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 46¢ $46 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $72 3h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 92¢ $462 8h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 14¢ $4 18h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 14¢ $6 18h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 14¢ $7 18h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 14¢ $4 18h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 14¢ $1 18h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 15¢ $2 18h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 15¢ $2 18h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 16¢ $2 19h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 16¢ $2 19h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 16¢ $2 19h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 19h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 19h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 19h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 19h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 16¢ $2 19h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? SELL Yes 9¢ $3 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -4.4% -13.5% 7% 7% -11.1%
≤30d 135 +3.2% -6.7% 16% 13% -7.0%
≤90d 137 +4.0% -5.9% 17% 14% -6.2%
all 137 +4.0% -5.9% 17% 14% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.9% 14% -6.2%
10% ← realistic here -14.9% 12% -15.2%
15% -23.2% 12% -23.4%
20% -30.7% 12% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $78.89 · official $78.51 (match) · 762 history records