Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T13:44:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
B1 0xb132…9c72 crypto 50 markets active 2h ago coverage 505d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2 (+0%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate84%41W / 8L
Drawdown8%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day0.1pace
Kalshi-fit80%portable
Net worth$65now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 56% +$1
other 24% $0
tech 10% +$1
politics 6% $0
weather 3% $0
economics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 7 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
all 49 +0.3% -9.3% 84% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 0% -9.3%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 28% · top 2 40% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×1.78 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×9.13 per $1 lost it wins $9.13
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

505d coverage
Net worth$65
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses41 / 8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)49 / 50
History coverage505d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 49 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $65 $65 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Solana reach $100 in May? Jun 02 $18 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $60 in May? Jun 02 $48 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April? May 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April? May 05 $18 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April? May 05 $41 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March? Apr 01 $19 $0 +0%
Will BNB reach $800 in March? Apr 01 $43 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February? Mar 03 $14 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.00 in February? Mar 03 $41 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid hit $46 in January? Feb 01 $30 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.60 in January? Feb 01 $32 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? Jan 02 $6 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in December? Jan 02 $27 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? Jan 02 $33 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.80 in November? Dec 03 $46 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October? Nov 03 $49 $0 +1%
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? Oct 04 $14 $0 +0%
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30? Oct 04 $39 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $140 in August? Sep 02 $15 $0 +0%
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31? Sep 02 $36 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July? Aug 04 $5 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.9 in July? Aug 04 $12 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $120 in July? Aug 04 $46 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June? Jul 04 $20 $0 +0%
Dogecoin all time high by June 30? Jul 04 $25 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 in May? Jun 18 $4 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $110 in May? Jun 18 $5 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $14 before June? Jun 18 $7 $0 +0%
Will Xi visit the US before May? May 04 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin all time high in April? May 04 $6 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $80 in April? May 04 $6 $0 +0%
Will Xi Jinping talk to Trump before May? May 04 $7 $0 +0%
Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? May 04 $7 $0 +0%
Will TikTok be banned again before May? May 04 $8 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in April? May 04 $11 $0 +1%
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 National League Championship? Apr 17 $18 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Apr 17 $16 $0 -0%
Will another party win the most seats in the next Australian parliamen Apr 16 $25 $0 -0%
Will the Green Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Apr 12 $21 $0 -0%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? Apr 11 $16 $0 -0%
Ethereum all time high by March 31? Apr 02 $4 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by March 31? Apr 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum hit $2,600.00 again by March 31? Apr 02 $14 $0 +0%
Will 'Thunderbolts*' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? Mar 26 $82 $0 -0%
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025? Mar 23 $32 $0 -0%
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.39ºC in February 2025? Mar 08 $30 $0 +0%
Solana above $175 on February 28? Mar 03 $12 $0 +0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Februa Mar 03 $16 +$1 +4%
Will the CDU/CSU win less than 20% of the vote in the German election? Feb 13 $13 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? BUY No 100¢ $65 1h
Will Solana reach $100 in May? BUY No 100¢ $18 29d
Will Solana dip to $60 in May? BUY No 100¢ $48 31d
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April? BUY No 100¢ $5 63d
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April? BUY No 100¢ $18 63d
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April? BUY No 100¢ $41 63d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March? BUY No 100¢ $19 91d
Will BNB reach $800 in March? BUY No 100¢ $43 93d
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February? BUY No 100¢ $14 123d
Will XRP reach $3.00 in February? BUY No 100¢ $41 123d
Will Hyperliquid hit $46 in January? BUY No 100¢ $14 148d
Will Hyperliquid hit $46 in January? BUY No 100¢ $15 149d
Will XRP reach $3.60 in January? BUY No 100¢ $32 150d
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? BUY No 100¢ $6 181d
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in December? BUY No 100¢ $27 182d
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? BUY No 100¢ $33 183d
Will XRP reach $3.80 in November? BUY No 100¢ $46 212d
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October? BUY No 99¢ $17 243d
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October? BUY No 99¢ $32 243d
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? BUY No 100¢ $14 272d
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30? BUY No 100¢ $39 274d
Will Solana dip to $140 in August? BUY No 100¢ $15 302d
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31? BUY Yes 99¢ $36 303d
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July? BUY No 100¢ $5 333d
Will XRP dip to $1.9 in July? BUY No 100¢ $12 334d
Will Solana dip to $120 in July? BUY No 100¢ $46 335d
Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June? BUY No 100¢ $20 362d
Dogecoin all time high by June 30? BUY No 100¢ $25 366d
Will Hyperliquid dip to $14 before June? BUY No 100¢ $7 396d
Will Solana dip to $110 in May? BUY No 100¢ $5 396d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.93 · official $64.93 (match) · 107 history records