Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:04:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb126…f338
sports · 764 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$421 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$468 · open −$48
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$71
Realized+$468
Unrealized−$48
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses369 / 383
Est. fees paid−$205
Open positions11
Markets (closed)752 / 764
History coverage55d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day31.9
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 11 History 752 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$629
7 days+$18
14 days−$932
30 days−$426
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 9¢ 3¢ $63 $20 −$43 (-67%)
Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026? No 31¢ 62¢ $8 $16 +$8 (+100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 44¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+112%)
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026? Yes 76¢ 51¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-33%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 12¢ 10¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-18%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 31¢ 32¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+5%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 37¢ 6¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-85%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 19¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 36¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner LOS 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $28 +$74 +270%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$4 +43%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 +$23 +226%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$5 +165%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $14 −$5 -35%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $8 −$3 -42%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$6 +118%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$3 +67%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $20 +$21 +101%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$6 +67%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$10 +51%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $23 +$10 +45%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $12 −$12 -98%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 11 $104 −$19 -19%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 11 $295 +$30 +10%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major St Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A Jun 11 $12 +$19 +153%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 11 $13 +$15 +110%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 +$3 +89%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% +$984
crypto 16% −$443
other 1% −$72
politics 1% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $20 26m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 59¢ $12 36m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 70¢ $82 36m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 29¢ $5 41m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $14 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 100¢ $24 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) SELL 9z 100¢ $33 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 14¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $8 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 63¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 21¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 77¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 37¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 46¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 37¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 72¢ $21 3h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $7 3h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 30¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 10¢ $10 5h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $9 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Legacy 20¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 33¢ $8 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $11 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $8 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $41 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $10 15h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 231 -48.5% -53.4% 24% 23% -9.1%
≤30d 411 -18.8% -26.6% 38% 37% -14.8%
≤90d 752 -5.2% -14.2% 49% 45% -6.4%
all 752 -5.2% -14.2% 49% 45% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 45% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 41% -15.4%
15% -29.9% 37% -23.5%
20% -36.8% 30% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $70.53 · official $70.53 (match) · 2232 history records