Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:45:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb119…8d46
crypto · 305 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11,753 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,160 · open +$136
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,721
Realized−$10,160
Unrealized+$136
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses152 / 152
Whale WR (big bets)31%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)304 / 305
History coverage225d
Avg bet$648
Trades / day13.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 304 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$831
7 days−$4,303
14 days−$7,320
30 days−$9,591
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $3,585 $3,721 +$136 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $391 $0 −$391 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $189 $0 −$189 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $346 $0 −$346 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $2,353 +$1,109 +47%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Jun 12 $662 −$242 -36%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 12 $1,013 −$29 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $84 −$82 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$70 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$53 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $72 +$168 +231%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $144 +$121 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $141 −$138 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $127 +$73 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $217 +$307 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $131 +$56 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$65 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$14 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $311 −$291 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $131 +$21 +16%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 10 $397 −$55 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $150 +$139 +93%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 10 $4,342 −$1,658 -38%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Jun 10 $873 −$125 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $398 −$391 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $139 −$59 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $111 +$35 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $456 −$346 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $103 +$75 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $191 −$189 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $567 −$131 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $283 +$97 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $71 +$348 +488%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $196 +$243 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $620 −$422 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $201 +$19 +10%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $374 −$22 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 10 $304 +$62 +20%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? Jun 10 $367 −$355 -97%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 08 $1,243 −$1,211 -98%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $1,225 −$883 -72%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5? Jun 05 $464 −$343 -74%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Jun 04 $950 −$273 -29%
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 03 $218 −$42 -20%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? Jun 03 $13 −$13 -98%
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the most seats in South Korea’s Jun 03 $5 −$3 -61%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30? May 29 $572 −$167 -29%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? May 29 $2,297 −$714 -31%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? May 29 $4,940 −$1,987 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 29 $435 +$183 +42%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? May 27 $3,096 −$1,058 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 79% −$8,903
crypto 19% −$719
finance 1% −$46
other 0% −$243
politics 0% −$113
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes 12¢ $66 6m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $15 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes 15¢ $16 3h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $101 3h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $106 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL Yes 20¢ $105 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes 12¢ $120 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL Yes 21¢ $2 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL Yes 21¢ $120 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes 11¢ $265 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $42 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $8 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $29 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $11 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $15 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $42 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -0.7% -10.1% 41% 37% -30.3%
≤30d 89 -11.2% -19.6% 39% 34% -30.2%
≤90d 292 +4.2% -5.7% 50% 40% -14.4%
all 304 +4.4% -5.5% 50% 40% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.5 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 40% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 31% -22.6%
15% -22.8% 26% -30.0%
20% -30.4% 20% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,720.58 · official $3,720.58 (match) · 3256 history records