trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 12 | -40.4% | -46.1% | 33% | 33% | -47.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -46.1% | 33% | -47.1% |
| 10% | -51.3% | 25% | -52.1% |
| 15% | -56.0% | 8% | -56.8% |
| 20% | -60.3% | 8% | -61.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $348 | $341 | −$7 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02? | Feb 02 | $174 | −$174 | -100% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Feb 02 | $145 | +$28 | +19% |
| AVS Futebol vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5 | Feb 02 | $470 | −$470 | -100% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 31 | $66 | −$66 | -100% |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%? | Jan 31 | $53 | +$12 | +23% |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Jan 23 | $100 | −$56 | -56% |
| Golden Knights vs. Bruins | Jan 22 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5 | Jan 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 202 | Jan 18 | $174 | +$90 | +52% |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential electio | Jan 18 | $304 | −$23 | -8% |
| Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presid | Jan 13 | $154 | +$49 | +32% |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 13 | $206 | −$52 | -25% |