Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:49:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb10b…b02c
crypto · 139 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$27 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses41 / 84
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions14
Markets (closed)125 / 139
History coverage98d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 14 History 125 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+8%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-3%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? Yes 28¢ 26¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-8%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 41¢ 40¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-11? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +93%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$5 +172%
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-20? May 20 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 01 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 01 $5 −$5 -94%
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-02? May 01 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Apr 25 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-21? Apr 21 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Apr 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? Apr 15 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Apr 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Apr 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Apr 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Apr 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Apr 14 $2 +$3 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Apr 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Apr 14 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Apr 14 $2 +$4 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Apr 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Apr 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Apr 14 $2 +$6 +278%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Apr 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Apr 13 $2 −$2 -94%
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers Leag Apr 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Apr 13 $1 +$2 +207%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Apr 13 $2 +$9 +429%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Apr 13 $1 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Apr 13 $1 +$2 +216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Apr 13 $1 +$1 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Apr 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Apr 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-17? Apr 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Apr 13 $2 +$4 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Apr 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Apr 13 $1 +$3 +349%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Apr 13 $1 +$2 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% −$15
other 30% −$10
world 3% +$2
sports 2% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 61¢ $2 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $3 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 41¢ $3 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 20h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 28¢ $4 26h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 26h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 2d
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 2d
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 60¢ $2 2d
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 2d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 2d
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 2d
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 2d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 2d
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $3 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $3 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $4 2d
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-20? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 24d
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-20? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 24d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 42d
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-02? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 49d
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-21? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 58d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? SELL Yes 100¢ $15 58d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? BUY Yes 65¢ $10 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 60d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-30.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +51.8% +37.4% 75% 75% +48.6%
≤30d 5 +21.5% +9.9% 60% 60% -5.8%
≤90d 98 -18.1% -25.9% 33% 33% -13.8%
all 125 -23.0% -30.3% 33% 32% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.3% 32% -14.7%
10% -37.0% 30% -22.9%
15% -43.1% 30% -30.3%
20% -48.7% 27% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.43 · official $47.43 (match) · 287 history records