trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +4.6% | -5.3% | 100% | 8% | -7.1% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -4.0% | -13.2% | 90% | 15% | -10.7% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 90% | 14% | -10.4% |
| all | 27 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 93% | 19% | -1.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -10.5% | 19% | -1.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -19.1% | 0% | -10.8% |
| 15% | -26.9% | 0% | -19.4% |
| 20% | -34.0% | 0% | -27.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Yes | 81¢ | 86¢ | $6,626 | $7,117 | +$491 (+7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | Jun 17 | $100 | +$7 | +7% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1,001 | +$34 | +3% |
| Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | Jun 17 | $502 | +$49 | +10% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1,001 | +$40 | +4% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1,633 | +$8 | +0% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1,002 | +$55 | +6% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1,004 | +$133 | +13% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2,001 | +$34 | +2% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1,001 | +$40 | +4% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $2,001 | +$24 | +1% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $2,007 | +$97 | +5% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $7,200 | +$14 | +0% |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Jun 10 | $5,231 | +$26 | +0% |
| Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Caro | Jun 10 | $2,001 | +$15 | +1% |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 202 | Jun 09 | $3,341 | +$36 | +1% |
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary elec | Jun 09 | $104 | −$77 | -74% |
| Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary el | Jun 09 | $3,415 | +$519 | +15% |
| Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary | Jun 06 | $3,090 | +$257 | +8% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi | Jun 01 | $2,508 | −$2,500 | -100% |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | Jun 01 | $5,000 | +$598 | +12% |
| Will Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary e | Mar 21 | $6,302 | +$73 | +1% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Mar 04 | $6,109 | +$193 | +3% |
| Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | Feb 28 | $1,074 | +$38 | +4% |
| Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority? | May 16 | $5,200 | +$910 | +18% |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after th | May 05 | $30,916 | +$619 | +2% |
| Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary el | May 03 | $79,471 | +$2,774 | +4% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 30 | $95,732 | +$20,384 | +21% |