Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:01:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb103…a3a7
crypto · 1196 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,796 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,787 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$1,787
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses645 / 615
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1260 / 1196
History coverage30d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day97.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 1260 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,227
7 days−$2,227
14 days−$2,813
30 days−$1,787
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 71¢ 6¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-91%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$18 +7723%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$112
other 4% +$124
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $15 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $15 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $22 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $13 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 182 -37.5% -43.4% 20% 18% -79.5%
≤30d 1260 +5.4% -4.7% 51% 47% -15.8%
≤90d 1260 +5.4% -4.7% 51% 47% -15.8%
all 1260 +5.4% -4.7% 51% 47% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover97.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.7% 47% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -13.8% 42% -23.9%
15% -22.1% 36% -31.3%
20% -29.8% 26% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.92 · official $5.14 · 3500 history records