Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T04:19:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb0f1…5d81 sports 54 markets active 2h ago coverage 13d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$385 (-2%) realized −$385 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate41%22W / 32L
Whale WR38%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$406per market
Trades / day26.5pace
Fees−$363est.
Kalshi-fit63%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$537
7 days−$179
14 days−$414
30 days−$414
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 85% +$487
other 15% −$900
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -14.1% -22.3% 37% 34% -11.2%
≤30d 54 -8.8% -17.5% 41% 31% -11.4%
≤90d 54 -8.8% -17.5% 41% 31% -11.4%
all 54 -8.8% -17.5% 41% 31% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 31% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 26% -19.9%
15% -32.6% 26% -27.7%
20% -39.2% 24% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 38% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -4% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$150 vs −$116 · ×1.29 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$385
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses22 / 32
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$363
Open positions0
Markets (closed)54 / 54
History coverage13d
Avg bet$406
Trades / day26.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 54 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 Jun 25 $32 −$32 -100%
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? Jun 25 $40 −$40 -100%
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 Mexico? Jun 25 $84 −$83 -98%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 25 $53 −$1 -1%
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 Mexico? Jun 25 $131 −$130 -99%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 25 $364 −$364 -100%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 24 $220 +$280 +127%
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 2 Qatar? Jun 24 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $382 −$378 -99%
Bad Homburg Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Clara Tauson Jun 24 $60 −$60 -100%
Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 24 $30 +$20 +64%
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) Jun 24 $285 +$215 +75%
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 Croatia? Jun 24 $31 −$30 -100%
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? Jun 23 $142 +$686 +482%
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Ghana? Jun 23 $24 −$24 -100%
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Ghana? Jun 23 $103 −$102 -99%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals Jun 23 $504 −$40 -8%
Spread: England (-3.5) Jun 23 $1,176 −$8 -1%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 23 $425 −$425 -100%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $52 +$98 +186%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assists Jun 23 $66 $0 +0%
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assists Jun 23 $313 +$53 +17%
Bradley Barcola: 1+ goals Jun 23 $22 −$22 -100%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals Jun 23 $26 +$34 +133%
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 Jun 22 $420 +$262 +62%
Argentina leading at halftime? Jun 22 $400 −$400 -100%
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 22 $49 $0 -0%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 22 $481 +$346 +72%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $13 −$13 -100%
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 Jun 21 $500 −$19 -4%
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Jun 21 $627 −$627 -100%
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Jun 21 $54 −$54 -100%
Germany leading at halftime? Jun 20 $306 +$294 +96%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playo Jun 20 $44 −$43 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $360 +$316 +88%
Spread: Brazil (-4.5) Jun 20 $261 +$50 +19%
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 19 $60 −$60 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla Jun 19 $816 −$213 -26%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Jun 18 $446 +$165 +37%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 18 $250 +$196 +78%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $297 −$297 -100%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $50 +$150 +298%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $0 $0 +17%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $924 +$2 +0%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $23 +$25 +108%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $52 −$38 -73%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $773 +$31 +4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $5,657 +$82 +1%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $159 −$159 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 52¢ $32 1h
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? BUY Yes 3¢ $40 1h
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 1h
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 1h
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 1h
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 Mexico? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 Mexico? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 2h
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 Mexico? BUY Yes 11¢ $28 2h
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 Mexico? BUY Yes 9¢ $55 3h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $52 3h
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 Mexico? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 3h
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 Mexico? BUY Yes 8¢ $13 3h
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 Mexico? BUY Yes 8¢ $13 3h
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 Mexico? BUY Yes 8¢ $13 3h
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 Mexico? BUY Yes 8¢ $13 3h
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 Mexico? BUY Yes 8¢ $13 3h
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 Mexico? BUY Yes 8¢ $13 3h
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 Mexico? BUY Yes 8¢ $52 3h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Scotland 52¢ $364 6h
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 2 Qatar? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 7h
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 2 Qatar? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 7h
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 2 Qatar? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 7h
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 2 Qatar? BUY Yes 9¢ $9 7h
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 2 Qatar? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 7h
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 2 Qatar? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 7h
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 2 Qatar? BUY Yes 9¢ $3 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? BUY No 63¢ $382 9h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 44¢ $220 9h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $53 14h
Bad Homburg Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Clara Tauson BUY Qinwen Zheng 56¢ $60 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 385 history records