Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T09:19:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb0ec…c675 crypto 331 markets active 0h ago coverage 144d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$108 (-3%) realized −$108 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate51%169W / 162L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day6.3pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$14
14 days−$17
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 62% −$23
world 14% −$55
sports 12% −$39
other 11% −$14
politics 1% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -12.6% -20.9% 44% 33% -25.7%
≤30d 36 -16.2% -24.2% 42% 33% -18.9%
≤90d 104 -5.7% -14.7% 53% 48% -19.1%
all 331 -1.1% -10.6% 51% 39% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 39% -13.4%
10% -19.1% 25% -21.7%
15% -26.9% 20% -29.3%
20% -34.1% 17% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
24% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late +4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$4 · ×0.74 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

144d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$108
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses169 / 162
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)331 / 331
History coverage144d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day6.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 331 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$8 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 09 $14 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 05 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 01 $5 −$4 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 01 $16 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 01 $10 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 01 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET May 29 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET May 29 $21 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET May 29 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET May 29 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET May 29 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET May 29 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET May 29 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET May 29 $5 −$3 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET May 29 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET May 29 $5 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 23 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET May 23 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 23 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 21 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET May 21 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 21 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET May 21 $5 +$5 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET May 21 $5 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET May 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6AM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 13 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET May 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET May 13 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET May 13 $4 −$3 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET May 13 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET May 13 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4AM ET May 12 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET May 12 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET May 12 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2AM ET May 12 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET May 12 $1 +$1 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET May 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $7 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1087 history records