Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:57:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb0e8…03bf
politics · 100 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$27 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses11 / 88
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)99 / 100
History coverage110d
Avg bet$131
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 1 History 99 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $26 $26 −$0 (-0%)
Raptors vs. Clippers Raptors 39¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Nets vs. Trail Blazers Nets 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Trail Blazers Bucks 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Mavericks Mavericks 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Suns Suns 32¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Heat vs. Bucks Heat 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 11 $17 $0 -0%
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 11 $26 $0 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 08 $19 $0 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 07 $16 $0 -0%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 07 $15 $0 -0%
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 31 $26 $0 -0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? May 29 $311 $0 -0%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 25 $123 $0 -0%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 24 $117 $0 -0%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 23 $147 $0 -0%
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? May 21 $133 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 20 $296 $0 -0%
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 20 $142 $0 -0%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 19 $297 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? May 18 $150 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e May 17 $274 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 14 $108 $0 -0%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? May 13 $118 $0 -0%
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? May 13 $151 $0 -0%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin May 12 $147 $0 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? May 10 $122 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 10 $157 $0 -0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? May 09 $19 $0 +0%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 27 $151 $0 -0%
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 26 $107 $0 -0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 24 $294 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 24 $410 $0 -0%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Apr 21 $154 $0 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $120 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 20 $123 $0 -0%
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 19 $154 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $135 $0 -0%
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $272 $0 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 18 $160 $0 -0%
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 17 $141 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 16 $122 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 16 $198 $0 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? Apr 16 $114 $0 -0%
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 15 $140 $0 -0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 14 $254 $0 -0%
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 14 $236 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 14 $110 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 13 $201 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 13 $115 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 12 $144 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 11 $130 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 08 $233 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? Apr 08 $149 $0 -0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 08 $115 $0 -0%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 07 $143 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 44% −$6
politics 39% −$6
sports 9% +$37
crypto 3% $0
world 3% $0
economics 1% $0
tech 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $26 1h
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $17 2d
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $17 2d
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $26 3d
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $26 4d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $19 6d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $19 6d
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $16 6d
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $16 7d
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $15 7d
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $15 7d
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $26 14d
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $26 14d
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $155 15d
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $155 19d
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $123 19d
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $123 20d
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $117 21d
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $117 21d
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $147 22d
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $147 22d
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $133 24d
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $133 24d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $145 24d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $145 24d
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $142 24d
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $142 25d
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $143 25d
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $143 27d
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? SELL No 100¢ $150 27d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 16 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 94 -1.8% -11.2% 9% 6% -9.4%
all 99 -0.7% -10.1% 11% 9% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 9% -9.4%
10% -18.7% 7% -18.0%
15% -26.6% 5% -25.9%
20% -33.8% 5% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.99 · official $25.99 (match) · 285 history records