Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T23:42:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0

score

B0 0xb0e4…d42f sports 7 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d

RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample

✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover

Total PnL +$7 (+4%) realized −$10 · open +$17

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns

→−copy tax

Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip

Net edge-25%after slip

Net WR0%break-even

Win rate0%0W / 3L

Drawdown100%max

Avg bet$28per market

Trades / day10.0pace

Fees−$2est.

Kalshi-fit57%portable

Net worth$104now

Equity curve

realized PnL

Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net

insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +0%

net ROI/market (all)-18.5%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	3	-10.0%	-18.5%	0%	0%	-17.9%
≤30d	3	-10.0%	-18.5%	0%	0%	-17.9%
≤90d	3	-10.0%	-18.5%	0%	0%	-17.9%
all	3	-10.0%	-18.5%	0%	0%	-17.9%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip

turnover10.0 tr/day

realistic slip~9%

edge survives to0%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	-18.5%	0%	-17.9%
10%	-26.3%	0%	-25.7%
15%	-33.4%	0%	-32.9%
20%	-40.0%	0%	-39.5%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill

Profit concentration

top —% · top 2 —% thin sample

Edge freshness (90d)

90d ROI -9% too few recent

Fragile wins

—% wins margin < slip thin sample

Flat-copyable

equal-wt -10% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat

Big bets

big-bet WR —% no data

Persistence

early —% → late —% no data

Add-ons / DCA

1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries

Win / loss size

— vs −$3 no data

Profit factor

×0.0 loses more than it wins

Copy size

≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage

Net worth$104

Realized−$10

Unrealized+$17

Win rate (resolved)0%

Wins / losses0 / 3

Est. fees paid−$2

Open positions4

Markets (closed)3 / 7

History coverage1d

Avg bet$28

Trades / day10.0

Drawdown100%

Kalshi-fit57%

Ledger

positions · history · trades

Positions 4 History 3 Trades

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
Scotland vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?	No	57¢	100¢	$22	$39	+$17 (+75%)
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score	No	53¢	80¢	$20	$30	+$10 (+50%)
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	55¢	88¢	$15	$24	+$9 (+61%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	No	43¢	16¢	$30	$11	−$19 (-64%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Jun 19	$36	−$4	-10%
Morocco leading at halftime?	Jun 19	$51	−$4	-8%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Jun 19	$21	−$3	-13%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	BUY Under	55¢	$15	1h
Scotland vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?	BUY No	57¢	$23	1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	BUY No	43¢	$31	1h
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score	BUY No	53¢	$20	1h
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?	SELL Yes	26¢	$33	1h
Morocco leading at halftime?	SELL Yes	42¢	$47	1h
Morocco leading at halftime?	BUY Yes	43¢	$51	2h
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?	BUY Yes	27¢	$36	2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	SELL Yes	15¢	$18	2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	BUY Yes	16¢	$21	2h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $103.53 · official $103.53 (match) · 10 history records