Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:04:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb0e4…ef2d
other · 14 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$28 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized−$27
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses3 / 4
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions7
Markets (closed)7 / 14
History coverage40d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit29%
Chart Positions 7 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-10%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) Khamzat Chimaev 82¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +35%
Will Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? May 10 $30 +$2 +6%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $10 +$7 +64%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $10 −$9 -89%
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? May 10 $10 −$7 -72%
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, May 10 $50 −$14 -27%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) May 10 $19 −$9 -47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% −$28
other 38% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $5 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $2 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $14 38h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $10 31d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 31d
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 31d
Will Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $32 33d
Will Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? BUY Yes 93¢ $30 33d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? SELL Yes 100¢ $17 33d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 33d
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? SELL Yes 6¢ $3 33d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 34d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 60¢ $10 34d
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 34d
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, SELL Yes 51¢ $37 34d
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, BUY Yes 68¢ $50 34d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) SELL Sean Strickland 100¢ $53 34d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) BUY Sean Strickland 19¢ $10 35d
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) BUY Khamzat Chimaev 82¢ $9 40d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-33.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +34.8% +21.9% 100% 100% +21.9%
≤30d 1 +34.8% +21.9% 100% 100% +21.9%
≤90d 7 -26.1% -33.1% 43% 29% -28.4%
all 7 -26.1% -33.1% 43% 29% -28.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.1% 29% -28.4%
10% -39.5% 29% -35.2%
15% -45.3% 14% -41.5%
20% -50.7% 14% -47.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.05 · official $34.05 (match) · 53 history records