Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:06:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb0e3…c961
crypto · 65 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$108 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$108 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Net worth$908
Realized+$108
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses58 / 4
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)62 / 65
History coverage240d
Avg bet$494
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 3 History 62 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$16
14 days+$18
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026? No 100¢ 99¢ $721 $721 −$0 (-0%)
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $128 $128 −$0 (-0%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No 99¢ 99¢ $59 $60 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Jun 12 $841 +$9 +1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet Jun 11 $669 +$7 +1%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 11 $333 $0 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? Jun 05 $222 +$2 +1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? May 28 $668 +$1 +0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 24 $665 +$3 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? May 19 $875 +$10 +1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? May 03 $867 +$10 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April? Apr 16 $864 +$3 +0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of March? Apr 05 $466 $0 +0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March? Mar 30 $392 +$5 +1%
Will Solana reach $130 in March? Mar 29 $465 +$1 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? Mar 26 $438 +$27 +6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m Mar 22 $351 −$7 -2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Mar 19 $47 +$1 +2%
Pacers vs. Knicks Mar 18 $393 +$6 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 18? Mar 16 $392 +$1 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by March 13? Mar 13 $391 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? Mar 13 $387 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 8? Mar 06 $437 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 6? Mar 05 $436 +$1 +0%
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? Mar 05 $413 +$23 +6%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February? Feb 24 $376 +$11 +3%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of February? Feb 23 $409 +$4 +1%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Feb 09 $743 +$12 +2%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m Feb 09 $289 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8? Feb 07 $289 −$289 -100%
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch? Feb 04 $670 +$28 +4%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January? Jan 30 $283 +$5 +2%
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? Jan 28 $227 +$56 +25%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? Jan 01 $648 +$95 +15%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? Dec 23 $335 +$13 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? Dec 23 $283 +$17 +6%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? Dec 11 $200 +$27 +14%
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? Dec 05 $281 +$54 +19%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November? Nov 29 $195 +$4 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? Nov 27 $272 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November? Nov 26 $7 +$1 +7%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November? Nov 18 $281 +$2 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November? Nov 14 $98 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November? Nov 14 $785 +$9 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $97k November 3-9? Nov 10 $6 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k November 3-9? Nov 10 $1,009 +$7 +1%
Xi Jinping out in 2025? Nov 09 $1,048 +$2 +0%
Will Stable launch a token in 2025? Nov 06 $33 −$26 -79%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on November 4? Nov 03 $1,340 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 27-November 2? Nov 03 $94 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 27-November 2? Nov 03 $377 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 October 27-November 2? Nov 03 $866 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on November 2? Nov 02 $864 +$2 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 56% −$263
other 18% +$202
finance 11% +$52
economics 7% +$86
tech 5% +$12
world 2% +$12
sports 1% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 202 BUY No 99¢ $128 1h
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 202 BUY No 100¢ $721 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? SELL No 100¢ $850 26h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY No 99¢ $841 2d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet SELL Yes 99¢ $507 2d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $333 2d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $333 6d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet SELL Yes 99¢ $168 7d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $165 8d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? BUY No 99¢ $59 8d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $59 10d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY Yes 98¢ $669 13d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? SELL No 100¢ $669 15d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? BUY No 100¢ $668 18d
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? SELL No 100¢ $668 20d
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? BUY No 99¢ $547 23d
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? BUY No 99¢ $117 23d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? SELL No 100¢ $665 25d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? BUY No 98¢ $222 27d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? SELL No 99¢ $221 27d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? BUY No 98¢ $875 41d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? BUY No 99¢ $867 58d
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April? SELL No 100¢ $867 58d
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April? BUY No 99¢ $864 69d
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March? SELL No 100¢ $397 75d
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of March? BUY No 100¢ $466 76d
Will Solana reach $130 in March? SELL No 100¢ $147 76d
Will Solana reach $130 in March? SELL No 100¢ $318 76d
Will Solana reach $130 in March? BUY No 100¢ $465 78d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? SELL No 100¢ $465 79d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +0.7% -8.9% 100% 0% -8.7%
≤30d 7 +0.7% -8.9% 100% 0% -8.8%
≤90d 17 +0.9% -8.7% 94% 0% -8.7%
all 62 -2.2% -11.5% 94% 6% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 6% -9.2%
10% -20.0% 2% -17.9%
15% -27.7% 0% -25.8%
20% -34.8% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $908.32 · official $908.32 (match) · 235 history records