Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:24:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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B0 0xb0dc…bf94 crypto 1697 markets active 1h ago coverage 34d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 34d only
✗ bot/MM pace (66 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$180 (-2%) realized −$191 · open +$11
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate66%1114W / 582L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day65.9pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$71now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$12
14 days−$4
30 days−$147
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$328
other 1% +$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (66 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -15.6% -23.7% 23% 23% -0.8%
≤30d 1115 -5.6% -14.6% 71% 34% -11.1%
≤90d 1696 -5.9% -14.8% 66% 28% -11.8%
all 1696 -5.9% -14.8% 66% 28% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 28% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 11% -20.3%
15% -30.4% 8% -28.0%
20% -37.2% 7% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
51% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.43 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$71
Realized−$191
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses1114 / 582
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1696 / 1697
History coverage34d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day65.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1696 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 77¢ 92¢ $60 $71 +$11 (+19%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 418 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Senegal? Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal? Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $5 +$50 +980%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $30 +$13 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$4 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +199%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$6 +529%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 77¢ $60 1h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 33¢ $5 20h
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 20¢ $5 20h
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Senegal? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 23h
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 23h
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 23h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 34¢ $5 23h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? SELL No 100¢ $55 47h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 47h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 47h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 9¢ $5 2d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $5 3d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $30 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $71.30 · official $71.30 (match) · 3410 history records