Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:32:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb0d6…7475
other · 590 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$40,960 -61%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27,981 · open −$21,709
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$549
Realized−$27,981
Unrealized−$21,709
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses101 / 64
Whale WR (big bets)13%
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions500
Markets (closed)165 / 590
History coverage1d
Avg bet$114
Trades / day2686.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 500 History 165 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27,981
7 days−$27,981
14 days−$27,981
30 days−$27,981
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+26%)
Will Arvid Lindblad get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+26%)
Will Oliver Bearman get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+26%)
Will Nico Hulkenberg get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+26%)
Will Gabriel Bortoleto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+26%)
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+26%)
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $750 $11 −$740 (-99%)
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $750 $11 −$740 (-99%)
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $750 $11 −$740 (-99%)
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $750 $11 −$740 (-99%)
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $750 $11 −$740 (-99%)
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $750 $11 −$740 (-99%)
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $750 $11 −$740 (-99%)
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $750 $11 −$740 (-99%)
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $750 $11 −$740 (-99%)
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $733 $10 −$722 (-99%)
Will Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election? Yes 14¢ 98¢ $1 $10 +$8 (+589%)
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $702 $10 −$692 (-99%)
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $702 $10 −$692 (-99%)
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $386 $9 −$377 (-98%)
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $386 $9 −$377 (-98%)
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $386 $9 −$377 (-98%)
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $386 $9 −$377 (-98%)
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $386 $9 −$377 (-98%)
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $386 $9 −$377 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on June 12? Jun 12 $50 −$49 -100%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $973 −$971 -100%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $320 −$306 -96%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less Jun 12 $1,033 −$1,032 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 12 $107 −$106 -99%
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? Jun 12 $21 −$15 -71%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $56 −$56 -99%
Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada? Jun 12 $589 −$589 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $750 −$749 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 12 $699 −$697 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 13? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $751 −$750 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $742 −$741 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $744 −$744 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $735 −$734 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on June Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $672 −$670 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $659 −$656 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $699 −$697 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $692 −$690 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $721 −$719 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $645 −$642 -99%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $727 −$726 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $721 −$720 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $727 −$726 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $668 −$665 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $748 −$748 -100%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country? Jun 12 $90 $0 +0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European countr Jun 12 $88 +$2 +2%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/Nor Jun 12 $90 $0 +0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia? Jun 12 $90 $0 +0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Jun 12 $86 +$4 +5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy? Jun 12 $89 +$1 +1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt? Jun 12 $90 $0 +0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? Jun 12 $89 +$1 +1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey? Jun 12 $90 $0 +0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria? Jun 12 $89 +$1 +1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Jun 12 $37 +$53 +146%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? Jun 12 $88 +$2 +3%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? Jun 12 $90 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$50 +1678%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE? Jun 12 $85 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $56 −$54 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $16 −$12 -77%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% −$41,128
finance 12% −$6,765
tech 6% −$396
weather 6% −$806
sports 5% −$610
crypto 3% −$68
politics 3% −$35
world 2% +$71
culture 1% +$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1m
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 95¢ $49 2m
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 100¢ $51 2m
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 4¢ $2 2m
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less BUY No 100¢ $51 2m
Curaçao leading at halftime? BUY No 96¢ $15 2m
Germany leading at halftime? BUY No 21¢ $3 2m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime? BUY No 82¢ $13 2m
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at le SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? BUY No 100¢ $40 2m
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? BUY No 100¢ $40 2m
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? BUY No 100¢ $40 2m
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? BUY No 100¢ $40 2m
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? BUY No 1¢ $0 2m
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? BUY No 100¢ $40 2m
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? BUY No 100¢ $40 2m
Will the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $30 2m
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $30 2m
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $30 2m
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $30 2m
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $30 2m
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $30 2m
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.70 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $30 2m
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $30 2m
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 15? BUY No 76¢ $23 2m
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 15? BUY No 92¢ $28 2m
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 15? BUY No 32¢ $10 2m
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? BUY No 100¢ $10 3m
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? BUY No 100¢ $10 3m
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? BUY No 1¢ $0 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 165 -10.1% -18.7% 61% 8% -75.5%
≤30d 165 -10.1% -18.7% 61% 8% -75.5%
≤90d 165 -10.1% -18.7% 61% 8% -75.5%
all 165 -10.1% -18.7% 61% 8% -75.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2686.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.7% 8% -75.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 6% -77.9%
15% -33.6% 5% -80.0%
20% -40.1% 4% -82.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $548.71 · official $550.76 (match) · 3500 history records