Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:18:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb0d0…903e other 7 markets active 4d ago coverage 2d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$143 (-29%) realized −$143 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -8% what you keep after slip
Net edge-8%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate29%2W / 5L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$70per market
Trades / day7.3pace
Kalshi-fit0%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% −$145
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +6.2% -3.9% 29% 29% -36.4%
≤30d 7 +6.2% -3.9% 29% 29% -36.4%
≤90d 7 +6.2% -3.9% 29% 29% -36.4%
all 7 +6.2% -3.9% 29% 29% -36.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.9% 29% -36.4%
10% -13.1% 29% -42.5%
15% -21.5% 29% -48.0%
20% -29.2% 14% -53.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 78% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -30% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt -30% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$38 vs −$44 · ×0.86 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.35 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$143
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses2 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage2d
Avg bet$70
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 7 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $223 −$220 -99%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 13 $30 −$1 -2%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Jun 13 $20 $0 -1%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $90 $0 -0%
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27? Jun 13 $30 $0 -0%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $57 +$60 +105%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $40 +$17 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $20 3d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $202 4d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 90¢ $30 4d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? SELL Yes 90¢ $20 4d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $29 4d
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 94¢ $30 4d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $57 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $57 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $40 6d
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27? BUY No 93¢ $30 6d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 93¢ $61 6d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 90¢ $20 6d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 91¢ $30 6d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $30 6d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $30 6d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $30 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 17 history records