Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb0cc…f09b
other · 98 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$5,367 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,368 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$22
Realized+$5,368
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses39 / 56
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)95 / 98
Avg bet$804
Trades / day31.5
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit1%
Chart Positions 3 History 95 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$393
7 days+$1,647
14 days+$2,156
30 days+$3,971
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-7%)
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $908 +$30 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $330 +$28 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $3,115 +$335 +11%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $3,457 +$631 +18%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1,281 +$204 +16%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $2,411 +$207 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $1,980 +$43 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $4,115 −$94 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $2,474 +$262 +11%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $2,907 +$173 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $3,343 +$216 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $171 +$24 +14%
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026? Jun 01 $806 −$117 -14%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? May 31 $143 −$4 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 30 $918 +$146 +16%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $0 $0 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $4,801 +$70 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 28 $22 −$8 -37%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $2,613 +$196 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $4,727 +$956 +20%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $137 +$66 +48%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $2,175 +$158 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $3,015 +$244 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 19 $411 +$155 +38%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? May 18 $67 −$8 -12%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? May 18 $2,247 +$51 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? May 18 $275 −$29 -11%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? May 16 $4 −$1 -15%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? May 16 $1,402 −$348 -25%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 15 $3,543 +$10 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 15 $245 +$45 +18%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 13 $2,744 +$398 +14%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 13 $782 −$70 -9%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? May 13 $2,164 +$28 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? May 12 $1,305 +$348 +27%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? May 11 $582 −$16 -3%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? May 11 $199 +$47 +23%
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO? May 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? May 10 $396 −$22 -6%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? May 09 $16 −$1 -6%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? May 09 $3,000 +$260 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? May 09 $573 −$32 -6%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? May 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? May 09 $535 +$57 +11%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? May 08 $3,933 +$42 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? May 07 $7 $0 -5%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? May 07 $1,533 +$692 +45%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? May 05 $1,755 +$55 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? May 04 $43 −$3 -6%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? May 04 $16 −$1 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$5,368
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 26¢ $5 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 28¢ $40 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 28¢ $40 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 28¢ $40 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 28¢ $27 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 17¢ $62 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $26 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 24¢ $249 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $166 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $25 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $14 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $16 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 90¢ $358 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 13¢ $55 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $15 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $8 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $8 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $8 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $8 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $8 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 4h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 82¢ $89 6h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 82¢ $232 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +8.4% -1.9% 89% 44% -2.1%
≤30d 33 +7.1% -3.1% 70% 36% -3.0%
≤90d 95 +6.0% -4.1% 41% 24% -3.0%
all 95 +6.0% -4.1% 41% 24% -3.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.1% 24% -3.0%
10% -13.3% 13% -12.3%
15% ← realistic here -21.7% 9% -20.7%
20% -29.3% 4% -28.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.23 · official $22.24 (match) · 2334 history records