Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T08:43:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
B0 0xb0cb…3f7f crypto 452 markets active 0h ago coverage 74d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1,146 (+1%) realized +$1,146 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate79%355W / 97L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown28%max
Avg bet$224per market
Trades / day9.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$66now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$387
7 days+$1,027
14 days+$1,249
30 days+$1,245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,100
weather 0% −$28
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 +1.4% -8.2% 100% 0% -8.2%
≤30d 249 +8.3% -2.0% 97% 16% -8.4%
≤90d 452 -5.1% -14.1% 79% 27% -8.5%
all 452 -5.1% -14.1% 79% 27% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.1% 27% -8.5%
10% -22.3% 21% -17.3%
15% -29.8% 11% -25.3%
20% -36.7% 6% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
65% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -19% → late +9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$8 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.41 per $1 lost it wins $2.41
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

74d coverage
Net worth$66
Realized+$1,146
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses355 / 97
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)452 / 452
History coverage74d
Avg bet$224
Trades / day9.6
Drawdown28%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 452 Trades
no open positions (74 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $1,646 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $1,633 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 18 $1,618 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 18 $815 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $1,594 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $1,637 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $1,614 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $1,603 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $1,652 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $1,636 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $1,617 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $927 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $1,041 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $517 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 16 $445 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $1,621 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $1,517 +$59 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $1,530 +$23 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $1,522 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $1,509 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $1,233 +$12 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $1,075 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $1,471 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $1,458 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $1,445 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $529 +$12 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $1,041 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $1,410 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $1,397 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $1,384 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $492 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $1,234 +$30 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $1,335 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1,284 +$37 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $1,295 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $1,281 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $1,270 +$12 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $1,258 +$12 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $1,247 +$12 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $515 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $123 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $88 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $41 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $1,221 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1,214 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1,034 +$95 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $110 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1,054 +$37 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1,033 +$29 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $75 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,095 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $139 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,633 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,618 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $815 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,594 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,637 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,614 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,603 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,277 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $376 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,636 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,617 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $927 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,041 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $517 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $63 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $382 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $55 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,565 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1,517 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1,530 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,522 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66.43 · official $63.07 · 1534 history records