Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:02:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb0ca…b8f3
sports · 71 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$34 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$41 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$41
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses35 / 33
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions3
Markets (closed)68 / 71
History coverage65d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown97%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 3 History 68 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days+$71
14 days+$71
30 days+$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 21¢ 20¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 52¢ 33¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-37%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Mexico 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays Los Angeles Dodgers 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 65¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score No 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Saigon Dino 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Knicks Celtics 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner TYLOO 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Warriors Warriors 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs PARIVISION 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 +$8 +78%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$4 +82%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$4 +84%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +158%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +43%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$12 +116%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $5 −$3 -59%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$7 +71%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$9 +91%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$10 +203%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$6 +126%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $15 −$15 -99%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $5 −$3 -59%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $6 +$4 +66%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$6 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $5 +$3 +54%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $6 $0 -3%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Israel closes its airspace by June 10? Jun 10 $5 −$4 -75%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5 +$4 +71%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $5 +$5 +99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5 +$5 +93%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $5 +$6 +109%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $5 $0 -4%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $16 +$9 +52%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$3 +57%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1 $0 +12%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$5 +92%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $8 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$3 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -99%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 08 $26 +$10 +37%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 07 $57 −$6 -10%
Lakers vs. Warriors Apr 10 $15 −$15 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% +$20
crypto 20% +$8
world 19% −$5
other 4% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 21¢ $5 12m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $18 15m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 49¢ $5 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 55¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 54¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL FURIA 99¢ $9 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 53¢ $5 5h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 52¢ $5 14h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 15h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $14 16h
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) BUY Mexico 27¢ $2 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 34¢ $5 19h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $10 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 99¢ $22 19h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 20¢ $2 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 33¢ $5 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 34¢ $5 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 47¢ $5 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 45¢ $10 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 45¢ $5 22h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL FURIA 99¢ $17 22h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 57¢ $10 23h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 22¢ $5 24h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL MOUZ 99¢ $19 25h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 51¢ $10 25h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 99¢ $15 26h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 32¢ $5 27h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 99¢ $12 27h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 43¢ $5 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 +10.4% -0.1% 55% 55% +8.8%
≤30d 49 +10.4% -0.1% 55% 55% +8.8%
≤90d 68 -1.4% -10.8% 51% 50% -1.6%
all 68 -1.4% -10.8% 51% 50% -1.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 50% -1.6%
10% -19.3% 47% -11.0%
15% -27.1% 47% -19.6%
20% -34.3% 38% -27.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.82 · official $7.82 (match) · 147 history records