Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T16:18:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
B0 0xb0b8…1133 crypto 243 markets active 2h ago coverage 185d
TRAPdo not copy
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,190 (-4%) realized −$1,190 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate89%216W / 27L
Whale WR86%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$124per market
Trades / day1.7pace
Kalshi-fit83%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$31
14 days−$122
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 54% +$4
tech 22% −$872
other 12% −$327
finance 5% −$52
world 3% +$97
sports 2% −$66
politics 1% −$17
culture 0% +$14
weather 0% +$9
economics 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +2.5% -7.2% 100% 0% -7.2%
≤30d 55 -3.1% -12.3% 95% 4% -10.2%
≤90d 142 -1.3% -10.7% 97% 3% -12.5%
all 243 -4.1% -13.2% 89% 26% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.2% 26% -13.2%
10% -21.5% 9% -21.5%
15% -29.1% 3% -29.1%
20% -36.0% 0% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
71% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 86% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -7% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$78 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.43 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

185d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,190
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses216 / 27
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)243 / 243
History coverage185d
Avg bet$124
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 243 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 25? Jun 25 $135 +$2 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on June 24? Jun 24 $66 +$1 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on June 24? Jun 24 $39 +$1 +2%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 24? Jun 24 $27 +$1 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on June 23? Jun 23 $127 +$5 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 23? Jun 23 $123 +$4 +3%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22? Jun 22 $123 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 22? Jun 22 $120 +$4 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 21? Jun 21 $118 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 20? Jun 20 $116 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 19? Jun 19 $115 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18? Jun 18 $105 +$10 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $105 +$1 +1%
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $103 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 17? Jun 17 $102 +$1 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on June 16? Jun 16 $44 +$1 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on June 16? Jun 16 $37 +$1 +2%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 on June 16? Jun 16 $20 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? Jun 16 $100 $0 +0%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 15? Jun 15 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 15? Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 14? Jun 14 $98 +$1 +1%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $174 −$169 -97%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $170 +$3 +2%
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $169 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $165 +$3 +2%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $165 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $165 $0 +0%
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $164 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 10? Jun 10 $157 +$7 +4%
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $156 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 9? Jun 09 $155 +$1 +1%
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $152 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 7? Jun 07 $153 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 5? Jun 05 $304 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5? Jun 05 $182 −$181 -99%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $6 $0 +0%
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $54 +$1 +1%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on June 4? Jun 04 $60 +$1 +1%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 on June 4? Jun 04 $12 $0 +1%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on June 4? Jun 04 $9 $0 +1%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on June 4? Jun 04 $344 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4? Jun 04 $480 +$4 +1%
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 3? Jun 03 $445 +$34 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3? Jun 03 $446 $0 +0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? Jun 02 $2 −$2 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $374 +$72 +19%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 30? May 31 $374 +$1 +0%
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 29? May 29 $375 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29? May 29 $374 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 25? BUY Yes 99¢ $52 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 25? BUY Yes 98¢ $83 1h
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 24? BUY Down 98¢ $27 21h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on June 24? BUY No 99¢ $15 21h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on June 24? BUY No 99¢ $15 21h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on June 24? BUY No 97¢ $19 21h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on June 24? BUY No 98¢ $25 21h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on June 24? BUY No 97¢ $7 21h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on June 24? BUY No 98¢ $25 21h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on June 23? BUY Yes 98¢ $9 44h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on June 23? BUY Yes 96¢ $118 44h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 23? BUY Yes 97¢ $70 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 23? BUY Yes 97¢ $53 2d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22? BUY Down 100¢ $123 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 22? BUY Yes 97¢ $81 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 22? BUY Yes 96¢ $39 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 21? BUY Yes 99¢ $118 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 20? BUY Yes 98¢ $116 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $115 6d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18? BUY Up 91¢ $96 6d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18? BUY Up 91¢ $9 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 99¢ $105 7d
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 99¢ $55 7d
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 98¢ $48 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $102 8d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on June 16? BUY No 98¢ $37 8d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on June 16? BUY No 98¢ $44 8d
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 on June 16? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 8d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 9d
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 15? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 568 history records