Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T11:18:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb0b8…d4d9 crypto 1395 markets active 1h ago coverage 56d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$44 (+1%) realized +$44 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate74%1039W / 356L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day28.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$37
14 days−$16
30 days−$133
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 90% −$70
weather 10% +$18
other 0% $0
world 0% −$1
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 294 -2.6% -11.8% 77% 50% -11.6%
≤30d 1318 -3.2% -12.5% 75% 51% -11.2%
≤90d 1395 -0.6% -10.1% 74% 52% -10.2%
all 1395 -0.6% -10.1% 74% 52% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover28.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 52% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 22% -18.8%
15% -26.5% 10% -26.6%
20% -33.7% 5% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
24% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

56d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses1039 / 356
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1395 / 1395
History coverage56d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day28.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1395 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -51%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -77%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -53%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 35h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.20 · official $0.00 (match) · 2842 history records