Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:16:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B0 0xb0b7…5441 sports 89 markets active 7d ago coverage 22d
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 21d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (157 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,489 (-7%) realized −$1,489 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -31% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -46% what you keep after slip
Net edge-46%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate37%33W / 56L
Whale WR80%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$233per market
Trades / day157.4pace
Fees−$240est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$3,956
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (157 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-37.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 89 -30.6% -37.2% 37% 10% -28.1%
≤90d 89 -30.6% -37.2% 37% 10% -28.1%
all 89 -30.6% -37.2% 37% 10% -28.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover157.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.2% 10% -28.1%
10% ← realistic here -43.2% 1% -34.9%
15% -48.7% 1% -41.2%
20% -53.7% 1% -47.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -26% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
70% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -31% · $-wt -26% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 80% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -46% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
37.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$78 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.09 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,489
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses33 / 56
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$240
Open positions0
Markets (closed)89 / 89
History coverage22d ⚠
Avg bet$233
Trades / day157.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 89 Trades
no open positions (27 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $1,168 −$785 -67%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $808 −$499 -62%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $19 $0 -1%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $68 −$3 -5%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $970 −$567 -58%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $551 +$8 +2%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $295 +$39 +13%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $378 −$15 -4%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $53 +$27 +51%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 07 $227 −$5 -2%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 06 $114 +$1 +1%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $184 −$28 -15%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $439 +$30 +7%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 06 $368 −$34 -9%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 05 $315 +$10 +3%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 05 $354 −$98 -28%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 04 $239 −$16 -7%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 04 $270 +$26 +10%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 04 $674 +$30 +4%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 03 $550 −$6 -1%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 03 $450 −$29 -6%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 02 $575 +$1 +0%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 01 $117 +$4 +3%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 31 $88 −$24 -27%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners May 31 $129 −$8 -6%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 31 $196 +$6 +3%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox May 30 $164 −$16 -10%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda May 30 $431 −$205 -47%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics May 30 $71 +$6 +8%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 30 $105 +$8 +8%
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev May 29 $17 $0 +1%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers May 29 $131 +$13 +10%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 29 $21 +$1 +5%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox May 28 $301 +$4 +1%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers May 28 $186 −$4 -2%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 28 $139 $0 +0%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers May 28 $113 −$3 -3%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres May 27 $300 +$1 +0%
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays May 27 $197 −$2 -1%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres May 27 $202 +$22 +11%
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians May 27 $201 −$38 -19%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 26 $526 +$71 +14%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres May 26 $107 +$2 +2%
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians May 26 $95 −$22 -23%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 25 $749 −$410 -55%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 25 $132 −$3 -2%
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants May 25 $389 −$61 -16%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays May 24 $209 −$53 -25%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers May 24 $398 +$21 +5%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies May 23 $336 +$28 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $14 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $71 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $27 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $45 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $22 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $2 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $1 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $5 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $2 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $3 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $2 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $9 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $8 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $1 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $9 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $2 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $20 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $1 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $2 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $1 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $7 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $14 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $1 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $29 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $12 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $1 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $2 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $5 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $11 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3440 history records