Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T03:17:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B0 0xb0b6…a9d9 crypto 192 markets active 1h ago coverage 25d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$148 (-2%) realized −$148 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate66%126W / 66L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$31per market
Trades / day9.7pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$505
14 days−$251
30 days−$256
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$263
other 1% −$7
politics 0% −$5
world 0% +$11
sports 0% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -2.9% -12.2% 58% 57% -20.0%
≤30d 192 -1.0% -10.4% 66% 52% -13.4%
≤90d 192 -1.0% -10.4% 66% 52% -13.4%
all 192 -1.0% -10.4% 66% 52% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.4% 52% -13.4%
10% -19.0% 43% -21.7%
15% -26.8% 36% -29.3%
20% -34.0% 26% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$38 · ×0.47 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$148
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses126 / 66
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)192 / 192
History coverage25d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 192 Trades
no open positions (52 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 18 $20 +$14 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$18 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$13 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $19 +$8 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$15 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$12 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$19 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$10 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$8 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$19 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$6 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$8 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$11 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $19 +$12 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$13 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$15 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$6 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$9 +48%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$24 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $17 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $18 +$11 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$16 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$14 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$16 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $161 −$161 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $137 −$137 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $162 −$162 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $159 −$159 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $162 −$162 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $20 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $19 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $14 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $19 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $16 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $20 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $20 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $20 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $20 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $20 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $20 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $20 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $19 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $18 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $20 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $19 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $19 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $20 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $9 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 397 history records