Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:14:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb0ac…dc0d
crypto · 938 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$43
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses459 / 478
Open positions1
Markets (closed)937 / 938
History coverage54d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day22.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 937 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$7
14 days−$99
30 days−$99
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 50¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-93%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +152%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 -3.3% -12.5% 47% 46% -15.2%
≤30d 340 -10.1% -18.7% 45% 45% -28.3%
≤90d 937 -5.9% -14.8% 49% 49% -12.0%
all 937 -5.9% -14.8% 49% 49% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 49% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 47% -20.4%
15% -30.4% 46% -28.1%
20% -37.2% 45% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.07 · official $0.13 (match) · 1625 history records