Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T05:31:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb0a6…aa64 crypto 65 markets active 1h ago coverage 562d
TRAPdo not copy Fresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$56 (-1%) realized −$56 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate70%45W / 19L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$123per market
Trades / day0.2pace
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$85now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
economics 75% −$12
crypto 13% −$6
other 6% −$16
sports 3% −$13
politics 2% −$1
tech 2% +$1
culture 0% −$9
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 7 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 64 -1.2% -10.6% 70% 2% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 2% -10.2%
10% -19.1% 2% -18.8%
15% -27.0% 2% -26.6%
20% -34.1% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 64% · top 2 76% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% too few recent
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.12 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

562d coverage
Net worth$85
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses45 / 19
Open positions1
Markets (closed)64 / 65
History coverage562d
Avg bet$123
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 64 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $85 $85 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? Jun 03 $24 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? Jun 03 $73 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $2.80 in April? May 05 $27 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $50 in April? May 05 $50 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March? Apr 02 $5 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $130 in March? Apr 02 $13 $0 +0%
Will Chainlink reach $20 in March? Apr 02 $79 $0 +0%
Will BNB reach $1,200 in February? Mar 04 $20 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February? Mar 04 $55 $0 +0%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Feb 02 $6 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $210 in January? Feb 02 $14 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $40 in January? Feb 02 $76 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? Jan 01 $6 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in December? Jan 01 $16 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in December? Jan 01 $76 $0 +0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? Dec 03 $40 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $4.20 in November? Dec 03 $44 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $120 in October? Nov 04 $34 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.80 in October? Nov 04 $44 $0 +0%
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30? Oct 03 $35 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September? Oct 03 $55 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August? Sep 02 $14 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in August? Sep 02 $70 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $250 in July? Aug 03 $17 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $120 in July? Aug 03 $25 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July? Aug 03 $50 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $2.8 in June? Jul 03 $32 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June? Jul 03 $40 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May? Jun 12 $18 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May? Jun 12 $19 $0 +0%
Will Xi visit the US before May? May 02 $2 $0 +0%
Will TikTok be banned again before May? May 02 $3 $0 +1%
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April? May 02 $6 $0 +0%
TikTok sale announced before May? May 02 $7 $0 +1%
XRP all time high in April? May 02 $8 $0 +0%
Will Trump remove tariff on China before May? May 02 $11 $0 +1%
Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? May 02 $12 $0 +0%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May? May 02 $14 $0 +0%
Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before May? May 02 $15 $0 +1%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting? Apr 19 $6,010 −$12 -0%
Islanders vs. Lightning Apr 01 $11 +$5 +47%
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31? Apr 01 $18 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025? Mar 06 $16 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru Mar 06 $18 +$1 +5%
Will $Trump FDV be $45-50b on Feb 1? Feb 13 $15 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025? Feb 13 $17 $0 +0%
Will Valencia CF win La Liga? Jan 26 $25 $0 -0%
Will another party win the second most seats in the next German electi Jan 25 $30 $0 -0%
Will another player win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? Jan 23 $30 $0 -0%
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals? Dec 31 $35 −$7 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? BUY No 100¢ $85 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? BUY No 100¢ $24 29d
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $73 30d
Will XRP reach $2.80 in April? BUY No 100¢ $27 62d
Will Solana dip to $50 in April? BUY No 100¢ $50 62d
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March? BUY No 100¢ $5 91d
Will Solana reach $130 in March? BUY No 100¢ $13 91d
Will Chainlink reach $20 in March? BUY No 100¢ $79 92d
Will BNB reach $1,200 in February? BUY No 100¢ $20 122d
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February? BUY No 100¢ $55 123d
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $6 149d
Will Solana reach $210 in January? BUY No 100¢ $14 150d
Will Solana dip to $40 in January? BUY No 100¢ $76 150d
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? BUY No 100¢ $6 181d
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in December? BUY No 100¢ $16 182d
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in December? BUY No 100¢ $76 182d
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? BUY No 100¢ $40 211d
Will XRP reach $4.20 in November? BUY No 100¢ $44 211d
Will Solana dip to $120 in October? BUY No 100¢ $34 241d
Will XRP reach $3.80 in October? BUY No 100¢ $44 242d
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30? BUY No 100¢ $8 271d
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30? BUY No 100¢ $27 273d
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September? BUY No 100¢ $55 273d
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August? BUY No 100¢ $14 301d
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in August? BUY No 100¢ $70 303d
Will Solana reach $250 in July? BUY No 100¢ $17 332d
Will Solana dip to $120 in July? BUY No 100¢ $25 333d
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July? BUY No 100¢ $50 335d
Will XRP reach $2.8 in June? BUY No 100¢ $32 363d
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June? BUY No 99¢ $40 364d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $84.54 · official $84.54 (match) · 140 history records