Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:44:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb090…7085
other · 159 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$54 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses3 / 152
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions4
Markets (closed)155 / 159
History coverage92d
Avg bet$94
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 4 History 155 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$43
14 days−$38
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? No 73¢ 69¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-5%)
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup? Yes 49¢ 38¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-21%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? Yes 28¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+255%)
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? Yes 57¢ 65¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 32¢ 34¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ecuador be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIF Jun 13 $5 $0 -7%
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$1 -7%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $21 $0 -2%
Will Harry Kane score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $128 $0 -0%
World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken? Jun 13 $4 −$1 -37%
Will 3+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA Jun 13 $13 $0 -1%
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? Jun 13 $41 −$1 -4%
Will Tijjani Reijnders be in Netherlands's Starting 11? Jun 13 $0 $0 -3%
Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Jun 13 $15 $0 -3%
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian Jun 13 $15 −$4 -25%
Will Moisés Caicedo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $9 −$1 -8%
Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election? Jun 13 $13 −$8 -58%
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? Jun 13 $9 $0 -3%
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Will Colombia finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Grou Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30? Jun 13 $9 $0 -2%
Will South Korea finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup G Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Jun 12 $8 $0 -2%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? Jun 12 $8 $0 -4%
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026? Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Will Lionel Messi score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $11 −$2 -18%
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? Jun 12 $7 $0 -3%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? Jun 12 $11 $0 -3%
Will Luiz Henrique be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 Jun 12 $86 −$2 -3%
Will DR Congo be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Jun 12 $15 $0 -1%
World Cup Goals H2H: Neymar vs. Vinicius Jr. Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Will Haiti be the worst-placed Central American nation in the 2026 FIF Jun 12 $7 −$1 -12%
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? Jun 12 $9 $0 -2%
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? Jun 12 $14 −$1 -4%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17? Jun 12 $19 −$1 -4%
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? Jun 12 $27 −$2 -7%
Will Egypt finish second in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group S Jun 12 $23 −$3 -15%
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Jun 12 $9 $0 -2%
Will Czechia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Jun 12 $7 −$1 -15%
Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $20 −$1 -3%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? Jun 12 $45 $0 +0%
Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11? Jun 12 $17 $0 -0%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? Jun 12 $38 −$5 -14%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Jun 11 $31 −$1 -3%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 10 $8 −$3 -33%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $78 −$2 -3%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 04 $36 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? Jun 04 $36 +$8 +22%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 03 $143 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 02 $40 $0 +0%
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Jun 01 $50 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 32% −$22
world 21% −$15
politics 19% −$19
sports 10% −$5
finance 6% +$8
economics 6% −$1
crypto 5% +$5
culture 1% $0
tech 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ecuador be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIF SELL Yes 21¢ $2 3m
Will Ecuador be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIF BUY Yes 22¢ $2 3m
Will Ecuador be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIF SELL Yes 23¢ $2 35m
Will Ecuador be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIF BUY Yes 24¢ $2 35m
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026? SELL No 44¢ $9 49m
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026? BUY No 46¢ $10 49m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 82¢ $17 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 82¢ $17 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 18¢ $4 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 18¢ $4 1h
Will Harry Kane score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 27¢ $5 1h
Will Harry Kane score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $5 1h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 18¢ $6 1h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 18¢ $6 1h
World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken? SELL Yes 11¢ $2 2h
World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken? BUY Yes 17¢ $4 2h
Will 3+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA SELL No 63¢ $12 2h
Will 3+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA BUY No 63¢ $13 2h
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? SELL No 73¢ $14 5h
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? SELL No 73¢ $4 5h
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? BUY No 74¢ $4 5h
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? BUY No 74¢ $14 5h
Will Tijjani Reijnders be in Netherlands's Starting 11? SELL No 13¢ $0 6h
Will Tijjani Reijnders be in Netherlands's Starting 11? BUY No 13¢ $0 6h
Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 32¢ $1 6h
Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 6h
Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? SELL No 40¢ $2 7h
Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY No 41¢ $2 7h
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian SELL Yes 45¢ $11 7h
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian BUY Yes 59¢ $15 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)+10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -7.8% -16.6% 0% 0% -14.7%
≤30d 57 +28.9% +16.7% 2% 2% -12.5%
≤90d 150 +23.1% +11.4% 2% 1% -9.9%
all 155 +22.4% +10.7% 2% 1% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +10.7% 1% -9.9%
10% +0.1% 1% -18.5%
15% -9.5% 1% -26.4%
20% -18.4% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.31 · official $0.00 · 1310 history records