Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:41:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb08b…e878
other · 1119 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$132 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$154 · open +$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$67
Realized−$154
Unrealized+$22
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses605 / 508
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1113 / 1119
History coverage114d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day11.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit48%
Chart Positions 6 History 1113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$95
14 days−$41
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Eintracht Spandau 48¢ 100¢ $20 $42 +$22 (+108%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner Team Heretics Academy 0¢ 50¢ $0 $10 +$10 (+0%)
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? No 92¢ 92¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? No 96¢ 96¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 96¢ 95¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Solary 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-17? No 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs Hashiras 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23? No 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13? No 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28? No 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Walczaki 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs AM Gaming 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs Betclic Apogee Esports 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will US Catanzaro 1929 win on 2026-05-17? No 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16? No 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01? No 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs REKONIX 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-05-30? No 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 82¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Team Yandex 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$8 +38%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $10 +$2 +25%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$8 +39%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $20 +$9 +46%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $10 +$6 +61%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$10 +51%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$13 +67%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $10 +$4 +39%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $30 −$14 -47%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $20 +$3 +16%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $30 −$17 -57%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $20 +$3 +16%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$2 +11%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5 Jun 11 $11 +$4 +40%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 11 $2 +$3 +156%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +47%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$17 +84%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $10 +$4 +42%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $10 +$4 +38%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $20 +$9 +47%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $20 +$7 +35%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $10 +$13 +127%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Jun 10 $10 +$2 +16%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $10 +$8 +76%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$10 +100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$5 +46%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $10 +$3 +28%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$1 +14%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 Jun 09 $7 +$3 +47%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 Jun 09 $4 +$1 +27%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5 Jun 09 $3 +$2 +59%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5 Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group Jun 08 $10 +$6 +61%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 +$1 +14%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$3 +27%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $10 +$2 +19%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$6 +61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% −$186
other 34% +$39
world 1% +$15
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 50¢ $10 0m
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 96¢ $5 41m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner BUY Solary 76¢ $10 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 48¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY HEROIC Academy 44¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY HEROIC Academy 44¢ $8 4h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY HEROIC Academy 44¢ $1 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $20 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 80¢ $10 22h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 72¢ $20 22h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 88¢ $20 24h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 82¢ $20 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 72¢ $20 26h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 44¢ $20 28h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 68¢ $20 32h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 62¢ $10 42h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 60¢ $20 46h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 66¢ $11 46h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 66¢ $9 47h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY KOLESIE 72¢ $10 47h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 62¢ $20 2d
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 86¢ $14 2d
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 86¢ $6 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 78¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $20 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 50¢ $10 2d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia BUY Top Esports Challenger 86¢ $20 2d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 90¢ $2 2d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 90¢ $9 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -6.5% -15.4% 61% 61% -19.2%
≤30d 246 +6.9% -3.3% 67% 66% -10.0%
≤90d 949 +0.3% -9.3% 56% 56% -11.3%
all 1113 -0.0% -9.6% 54% 54% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 54% -12.2%
10% -18.2% 51% -20.6%
15% -26.1% 49% -28.3%
20% -33.4% 46% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.06 · official $67.06 (match) · 3500 history records