Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:53:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb085…7b10
sports · 146 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,141 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,580 · open −$1,133
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Net worth$3,499
Realized−$2,580
Unrealized−$1,133
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses77 / 63
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$700
Open positions6
Markets (closed)140 / 146
History coverage558d
Avg bet$645
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 6 History 140 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$501
7 days−$1,594
14 days−$1,820
30 days−$2,105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 82¢ 83¢ $1,343 $1,360 +$16 (+1%)
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No 94¢ 96¢ $921 $933 +$11 (+1%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 92¢ 100¢ $609 $660 +$51 (+8%)
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 92¢ 96¢ $441 $457 +$17 (+4%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 24¢ 56¢ $37 $87 +$50 (+135%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Top Esports 16¢ $248 $1 −$248 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 72¢ $981 $1 −$980 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 8AM ET Up $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Over 49¢ $245 $0 −$245 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 6AM ET Up $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 66¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 Over 50¢ $245 $0 −$245 (-100%)
Mensik vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5 Over 54¢ $245 $0 −$245 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Team WE $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 95¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 84¢ $456 $0 −$456 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 97¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? Yes $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? Yes $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET Up 26¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 71¢ $645 $0 −$645 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 51¢ $777 $0 −$777 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 89¢ $363 $0 −$363 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $941 +$196 +21%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $501 +$64 +13%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,343 −$815 -61%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $1,226 −$306 -25%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,674 −$12 -1%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,370 +$477 +35%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $696 +$6 +1%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,747 −$16 -1%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $543 −$31 -6%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,507 −$254 -10%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $1,591 +$262 +16%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1,265 −$72 -6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,848 −$1,191 -64%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $749 +$25 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $2,223 +$359 +16%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $155 +$39 +25%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $267 +$7 +2%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $770 −$456 -59%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $250 +$110 +44%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $257 +$14 +5%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $78 +$5 +6%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $498 −$20 -4%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,029 −$46 -4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $606 +$4 +1%
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Jun 06 $249 +$148 +60%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Jun 05 $249 −$245 -98%
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5) Jun 05 $250 −$18 -7%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 05 $249 +$190 +76%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 05 $249 +$206 +83%
Mensik vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5 Jun 05 $248 −$245 -99%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 04 $249 −$245 -98%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $1,235 +$109 +9%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $837 +$32 +4%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $1,301 +$175 +14%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $1,129 +$21 +2%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $1,664 −$577 -35%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $1,655 +$407 +25%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? Jun 02 $1,021 +$92 +9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? Jun 02 $1,140 +$196 +17%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $180 +$4 +2%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $513 +$225 +44%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $1,209 −$644 -53%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? May 29 $399 −$18 -4%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET May 29 $138 +$17 +12%
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET May 29 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET May 29 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down on May 29? May 29 $401 +$46 +11%
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 11AM ET May 29 $37 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11AM ET May 29 $215 +$19 +9%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET May 29 $73 −$42 -58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 55% −$4,576
other 18% −$590
politics 9% −$1,064
crypto 7% +$2,157
economics 3% +$122
finance 3% +$213
world 2% +$16
tech 2% −$1
culture 1% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $24 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $10 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $97 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $47 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $71 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $12 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $250 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $12 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $86 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $54 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $10 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $196 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $109 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $66 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $1 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $9 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $10 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $26 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $10 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $12 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $6 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $32 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $250 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $118 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $250 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports $80 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports $7 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-23.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -11.3% -19.7% 55% 35% -17.2%
≤30d 95 -18.8% -26.5% 56% 21% -14.8%
≤90d 113 -18.4% -26.2% 49% 18% -17.0%
all 140 -15.5% -23.5% 55% 19% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.5% 19% -12.3%
10% -30.8% 11% -20.7%
15% -37.5% 7% -28.4%
20% -43.6% 5% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,498.74 · official $3,498.75 (match) · 1349 history records