Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T16:30:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb083…032a crypto 1469 markets active 11d ago coverage 23d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 22d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,150 (-8%) realized −$1,150 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate24%377W / 1179L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day33.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$552
7 days−$552
14 days−$546
30 days−$418
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$114
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 -99.8% -99.9% 0% 0% -99.9%
≤30d 1267 -9.8% -18.4% 24% 22% -12.7%
≤90d 1556 -8.8% -17.5% 24% 22% -12.2%
all 1556 -8.8% -17.5% 24% 22% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover33.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 22% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 13% -20.6%
15% -32.6% 7% -28.2%
20% -39.2% 2% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
0.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,150
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses377 / 1179
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1556 / 1469
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day33.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1556 Trades
no open positions (232 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 28 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 28 $0 −$2 -1752%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 28 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 28 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 28 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 28 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $0 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $3 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $3 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $3 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 16d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records