Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:20:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb082…5138
crypto · 1353 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$844 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$744 · open −$101
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$852
Realized−$744
Unrealized−$101
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1289 / 45
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Est. fees paid−$69
Open positions20
Markets (closed)1334 / 1353
History coverage28d
Avg bet$209
Trades / day77.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 20 History 1334 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$329
7 days−$434
14 days−$225
30 days−$744
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? No 96¢ 98¢ $331 $337 +$6 (+2%)
Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No 96¢ 97¢ $116 $116 +$0 (+0%)
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? No 97¢ 98¢ $59 $60 +$1 (+1%)
Will Justin Tootla be eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 this week? Yes 97¢ 53¢ $103 $56 −$47 (-45%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? No 90¢ 88¢ $45 $44 −$1 (-2%)
Will Trump's remarks not air? No 97¢ 96¢ $39 $38 −$1 (-2%)
Casemiro: 3+ shots No 99¢ 51¢ $55 $29 −$27 (-48%)
Casemiro: 2+ shots No 99¢ 51¢ $54 $28 −$26 (-48%)
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026? No 99¢ 96¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-3%)
Will Harry Kane win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 96¢ 96¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-0%)
Will Rodri win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 96¢ 95¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-1%)
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15? No 88¢ 81¢ $18 $16 −$1 (-7%)
Will France finish second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? No 76¢ 78¢ $15 $16 +$0 (+2%)
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 0.5 Yes 99¢ 100¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+1%)
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference? Yes 73¢ 66¢ $15 $13 −$1 (-9%)
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5 Yes 99¢ 80¢ $15 $12 −$3 (-20%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 69¢ 66¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-4%)
Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes 7¢ 3¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-54%)
Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026? Yes 1¢ 4¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+315%)
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026? Yes 1¢ 4¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+290%)
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-35%)
Will Matheus Cunha be in Brazil's Starting 11? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals Jun 14 $1,507 +$73 +5%
Will Matheus Cunha be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 13 $100 $0 -0%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $610 +$38 +6%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) Jun 13 $53 +$1 +3%
Eray Cömert: 1+ assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Noah Okafor: 1+ goals Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Ardon Jashari: 1+ goals Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia: O/U 174.5 Jun 13 $88 −$88 -100%
Djibril Sow: 1+ assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Yusuf Abdurisag: 1+ goals Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Mohammed Muntari: 1+ goals Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June Jun 13 $50 $0 +0%
BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. BC Neptunas Klaipeda Jun 13 $323 +$6 +2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Jun 13 $36 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $198 $0 +0%
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 17m? Jun 13 $21 −$16 -75%
Will Canada (30) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIF Jun 13 $0 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 13 $1,692 +$8 +0%
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Wor Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' Jun 13 $77 +$3 +4%
Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the USA vs Paraguay FI Jun 13 $426 −$426 -100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Worl Jun 13 $200 $0 -0%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $195 +$2 +1%
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' Jun 13 $243 +$2 +1%
Edin Džeko: 1+ assists Jun 12 $446 +$13 +3%
Tajon Buchanan: 2+ goals Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Marcelo Flores: 1+ goals Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals Jun 12 $1,240 +$84 +7%
Ermedin Demirović: 1+ goals Jun 12 $14 $0 +2%
Esmir Bajraktarević: 2+ goals Jun 12 $231 +$2 +1%
Marcelo Flores: 2+ goals Jun 12 $104 +$1 +1%
Jovo Lukić: 1+ goals Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $570 −$59 -10%
Spread: Valencia (-12.5) Jun 12 $838 +$4 +0%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 12 $368 +$30 +8%
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I Jun 12 $641 +$10 +2%
Will Gwynne Shotwell be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac Jun 12 $747 +$2 +0%
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 12, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 12, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $143 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 12, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $992 +$1 +0%
Will Trump say "Football" during Tele-Rallies? Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rallies? Jun 12 $13 +$5 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% +$255
sports 32% −$1,069
other 10% +$9
world 1% −$110
tech 1% +$23
politics 1% +$63
culture 0% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5 BUY Yes 99¢ $15 30m
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 0.5 BUY Yes 99¢ $14 31m
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac BUY No 97¢ $1 34m
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac BUY No 97¢ $0 34m
Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime sh BUY No 96¢ $116 43m
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals BUY No 95¢ $71 1h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals BUY No 91¢ $83 1h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals BUY No 94¢ $8 1h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals BUY No 94¢ $110 1h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals BUY No 93¢ $93 1h
Will Matheus Cunha be in Brazil's Starting 11? SELL No 100¢ $100 1h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals BUY No 95¢ $476 1h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals BUY No 94¢ $83 1h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals BUY No 96¢ $136 1h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals BUY No 98¢ $31 1h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals BUY No 98¢ $55 1h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals BUY No 99¢ $186 1h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals BUY No 95¢ $86 1h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals BUY No 95¢ $86 1h
Casemiro: 2+ shots BUY No 99¢ $54 2h
Casemiro: 3+ shots BUY No 99¢ $55 2h
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) BUY Washington Nationals 98¢ $20 2h
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) BUY Washington Nationals 97¢ $53 2h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 94¢ $610 2h
Eray Cömert: 1+ assists BUY No 98¢ $5 4h
Djibril Sow: 1+ assists BUY No 98¢ $5 4h
Ardon Jashari: 1+ goals BUY No 98¢ $1 4h
Noah Okafor: 1+ goals BUY No 92¢ $1 4h
Will Matheus Cunha be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Matheus Cunha be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY No 100¢ $100 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 323 -2.9% -12.2% 93% 2% -10.0%
≤30d 1334 -1.4% -10.8% 97% 2% -9.8%
≤90d 1334 -1.4% -10.8% 97% 2% -9.8%
all 1334 -1.4% -10.8% 97% 2% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover77.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 2% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 1% -18.4%
15% -27.1% 1% -26.3%
20% -34.3% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $851.83 · official $851.95 (match) · 3500 history records