Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:11:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb07a…1328
crypto · 534 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$369 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$367 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized+$367
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses254 / 279
Open positions1
Markets (closed)533 / 534
History coverage2d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day1505.0
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 533 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$367
7 days+$367
14 days+$367
30 days+$367
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 58¢ 62¢ $29 $31 +$2 (+5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $126 −$26 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $120 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$16 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$12 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $112 +$13 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $144 −$19 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$16 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $148 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$13 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $88 +$12 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $139 +$136 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $266 −$16 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $192 −$17 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $221 −$46 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $207 +$68 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $106 +$19 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $119 +$31 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $112 +$13 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$15 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$7 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $154 +$21 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $275 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$27 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$42 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$8 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$5 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$46 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$16 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$20 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $66 +$34 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$21 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$39 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $84 −$34 -40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$369
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $11 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $17 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $15 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $13 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $15 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $13 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $13 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $13 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $14 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $13 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $11 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $9 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $7 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 14m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 533 -0.5% -10.0% 48% 38% -8.4%
≤30d 533 -0.5% -10.0% 48% 38% -8.4%
≤90d 533 -0.5% -10.0% 48% 38% -8.4%
all 533 -0.5% -10.0% 48% 38% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1505.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 38% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 28% -17.2%
15% -26.5% 23% -25.2%
20% -33.7% 12% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.75 · official $24.75 · 3500 history records