Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:25:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb077…74d3
crypto · 550 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$13,093 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,089 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$158
Realized−$13,089
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses244 / 610
Open positions19
Markets (closed)854 / 550
History coverage50d
Avg bet$72
Trades / day65.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 19 History 854 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8,562
7 days−$8,562
14 days−$8,562
30 days−$10,351
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 12? No 58¢ 64¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+10%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 13? No 64¢ 66¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12? No 28¢ 34¢ $9 $10 +$2 (+21%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? No 66¢ 68¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13? No 61¢ 61¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? No 44¢ 44¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? No 57¢ 56¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? No 56¢ 54¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? No 30¢ 31¢ $9 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? No 50¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? No 70¢ 62¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 12? No 54¢ 46¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-16%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 12? No 38¢ 34¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-9%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12? No 57¢ 68¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+20%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? No 27¢ 29¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13? No 60¢ 60¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 12? No 54¢ 28¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Odd 98¢ 50¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-49%)
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? Odd 98¢ 50¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-49%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? No 70¢ 70¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 12? No 46¢ 46¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 23? No 32¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+212%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+69%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -49%
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -49%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 23? Jun 12 $0 +$6 +3663%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +41%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +69%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 76°F or higher on April 5? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 5? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5? Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on April 11? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1? Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 8? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 6? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 5? Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on March Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
Ethereum above 2,120 on March 25, 6AM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 8? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C or below on April 7? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 1PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 8? Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 5? Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 9? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 6? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 6? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 7? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 11 Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on April 5? Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 9? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on April 1 Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on April 3? Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 10? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on April 6? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin above 71,000 on March 25, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$3,441
weather 25% −$1,074
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 12? BUY No 58¢ $10 45m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13? BUY No 60¢ $6 47m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY No 38¢ $8 50m
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? BUY No 70¢ $2 51m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? BUY No 44¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? BUY No 44¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 54¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 56¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? BUY No 66¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 54¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? BUY No 66¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 64¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 12? BUY No 46¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 70¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 70¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY No 57¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 50¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY No 30¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 27¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? BUY No 44¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12? BUY No 28¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 12? BUY No 54¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 57¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 56¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 61¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11? BUY No 66¢ $10 45h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 10? BUY No 43¢ $37 45h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 10? BUY No 43¢ $2 45h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 10? BUY No 43¢ $5 45h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 10? BUY No 43¢ $5 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-48.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 356 -83.1% -84.7% 6% 6% -81.4%
≤30d 507 -61.8% -65.5% 21% 21% -42.6%
≤90d 854 -42.8% -48.2% 29% 28% -33.3%
all 854 -42.8% -48.2% 29% 28% -33.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -48.2% 28% -33.3%
10% ← realistic here -53.2% 26% -39.7%
15% -57.7% 22% -45.5%
20% -61.8% 17% -50.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $157.93 · official $156.84 (match) · 3500 history records