trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +20.4% | +8.9% | 58% | 50% | +9.9% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +25.4% | +13.5% | 56% | 50% | +14.6% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +25.4% | +13.5% | 56% | 50% | +14.6% |
| all | 16 | +25.4% | +13.5% | 56% | 50% | +14.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +13.5% | 50% | +14.6% |
| 10% | +2.6% | 44% | +3.6% |
| 15% | -7.3% | 44% | -6.4% |
| 20% | -16.4% | 31% | -15.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+7%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+23%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+14%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 76¢ | 76¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 72¢ | 69¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 71¢ | 64¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-11%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 13¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-23%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-25%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +21% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +48% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$3 | +291% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$3 | +250% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5 | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +46% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +83% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 04 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 04 | $1 | +$3 | +268% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 23 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |