Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T16:36:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb070…2898 crypto 18 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (109 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$6 (+1%) realized +$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +51% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +16% what you keep after slip
Net edge+16%after slip
Net WR61%break-even
Win rate61%11W / 7L
Drawdown53%max
Avg bet$43per market
Trades / day109.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$135
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (109 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)+36.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +51.1% +36.7% 61% 61% +8.0%
≤30d 18 +51.1% +36.7% 61% 61% +8.0%
≤90d 18 +51.1% +36.7% 61% 61% +8.0%
all 18 +51.1% +36.7% 61% 61% +8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover109.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +36.7% 61% +8.0%
10% ← realistic here +23.6% 61% -2.3%
15% +11.7% 56% -11.8%
20% +0.7% 44% -20.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 34% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +19% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +51% · $-wt +19% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +109% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
5.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$33 vs −$33 · ×1.01 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.59 per $1 lost it wins $1.59
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses11 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)18 / 18
History coverage1d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day109.0
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 18 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 28 $34 −$32 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 28 $23 +$30 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 28 $31 +$29 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 28 $87 +$41 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 28 $62 −$45 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 28 $47 +$59 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 28 $31 −$27 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 28 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 28 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 28 $31 +$30 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 28 $21 +$15 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 28 $83 +$66 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 28 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 28 $67 +$32 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$14 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 28 $25 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 28 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 28 $83 +$40 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $53 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $60 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 110 history records