Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:22:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb06b…f4da
other · 56 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$37 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses12 / 43
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)55 / 56
History coverage626d
Avg bet$304
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 1 History 55 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $16 $0 -0%
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 10 $14 $0 -0%
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 09 $9 $0 -0%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $5 +$5 +83%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 08 $14 $0 -0%
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 04 $15 $0 -0%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 03 $26 $0 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 01 $25 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? Jun 01 $26 $0 +0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $88 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $15 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 23 $10 $0 -0%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 19 $66 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 18 $67 $0 -0%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals May 18 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 12 $77 $0 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? May 11 $75 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? May 08 $74 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $74 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 06 $70 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 24 $76 $0 -0%
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? Apr 24 $71 $0 -0%
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 23 $146 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 23 $78 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 22 $77 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 19 $76 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $150 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $72 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $71 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 17 $74 $0 -0%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Magic Apr 10 $7 +$3 +48%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 10 $5 +$8 +165%
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Apr 10 $8 +$6 +72%
Rockets vs. Suns Apr 10 $10 +$9 +93%
Lightning vs. Sabres Apr 07 $7 −$7 -100%
76ers vs. Spurs Apr 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March? Apr 06 $24 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $160 in March? Apr 06 $49 $0 +0%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens Mar 27 $25 −$25 -100%
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Mar 23 $21 +$7 +33%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m Mar 06 $92 $0 +0%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on Mar 05 $5 $0 +0%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Feb 09 $92 $0 +0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 01 $13,555 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 08 $10 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 18 $15 $0 -3%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 14 $49 −$1 -2%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 11 $14 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 82% −$14
politics 10% −$6
other 6% $0
sports 1% −$17
crypto 1% $0
world 1% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $14 1h
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $16 29h
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $16 37h
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $14 46h
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $14 2d
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $9 3d
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $9 3d
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $14 4d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 54¢ $5 4d
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $14 4d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $15 8d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $15 8d
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $12 9d
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $12 9d
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $14 10d
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $14 10d
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $15 11d
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 11d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $12 12d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $12 12d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $15 13d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $15 13d
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 19d
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 19d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $26 20d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $66 24d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $66 24d
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $66 25d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +16.4% +5.3% 20% 20% -2.5%
≤30d 15 -1.3% -10.7% 13% 7% -10.7%
≤90d 41 -0.2% -9.7% 22% 15% -10.3%
all 55 -0.4% -9.9% 22% 11% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 11% -9.7%
10% -18.5% 11% -18.4%
15% -26.4% 9% -26.2%
20% -33.6% 7% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.86 · official $13.86 (match) · 265 history records