Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:04:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb06b…fb28 crypto 10 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$4 (-16%) realized −$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -25% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -37% what you keep after slip
Net edge-37%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 10L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day17.2pace
Kalshi-fit70%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 66% $0
other 18% −$4
world 16% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-31.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -16.3% -24.3% 0% 0% -18.3%
≤30d 10 -24.7% -31.9% 0% 0% -23.1%
≤90d 10 -24.7% -31.9% 0% 0% -23.1%
all 10 -24.7% -31.9% 0% 0% -23.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.9% 0% -23.1%
10% -38.4% 0% -30.5%
15% -44.3% 0% -37.2%
20% -49.8% 0% -43.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -15% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -25% · $-wt -15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$0 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day17.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 10 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? Jun 10 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $3 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 10 $4 $0 -0%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Jun 10 $1 $0 -14%
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -51%
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Jun 10 $1 $0 -6%
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the June meeting? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -74%
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad? Jun 09 $2 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? SELL No 97¢ $5 6d
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $5 6d
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $5 6d
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $3 6d
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $4 6d
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 6d
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? SELL Yes 31¢ $0 6d
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay SELL Yes 17¢ $1 6d
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the June meeting? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 6d
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 6d
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $2 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $2 7d
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay BUY Yes 18¢ $1 7d
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? BUY Yes 61¢ $1 7d
Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 7d
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 7d
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 7d
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the June meeting? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 7d
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the June meeting? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 23 history records