Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:45:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb064…0c40
crypto · 436 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,691 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,691 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,691
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses159 / 277
Whale WR (big bets)30%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)436 / 436
History coverage95d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day20.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 436 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$489
7 days−$489
14 days−$489
30 days−$2,051
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $163 $0 −$163 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $579 $0 −$579 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $181 $0 −$181 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $141 $0 −$141 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $137 −$130 -95%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $103 −$6 -6%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $44 −$4 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $170 −$163 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $487 −$300 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $433 −$159 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$146 +346%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $208 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $260 +$180 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $194 −$87 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $146 +$144 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $191 +$124 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $166 −$58 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 29 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 29 $16 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 29 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 29 $28 −$14 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 29 $49 −$29 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 29 $36 −$20 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 29 $48 −$18 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 29 $29 +$7 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 29 $59 −$34 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 29 $48 −$31 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 29 $60 −$28 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 29 $30 −$18 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 16 $47 −$46 -96%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? May 16 $52 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET May 16 $636 −$605 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET May 16 $835 −$350 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET May 16 $1,245 −$900 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 16 $702 +$810 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET May 16 $818 +$311 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 16 $732 −$700 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET May 16 $937 +$103 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 16 $609 −$579 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET May 16 $629 −$629 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET May 16 $1,195 −$1,133 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET May 16 $533 +$300 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET May 16 $342 −$6 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET May 16 $577 +$639 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET May 16 $149 −$141 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET May 16 $209 +$320 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 16 $535 +$714 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET May 16 $311 +$327 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET May 16 $191 −$181 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 16 $163 +$160 +98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$2,950
politics 1% +$569
finance 1% −$19
other 1% −$20
tech 0% −$54
sports 0% −$120
world 0% −$96
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $137 50m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $96 52m
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $40 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $170 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $171 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $171 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $106 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $210 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $138 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $240 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $189 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $188 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $213 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $208 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $329 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $111 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $14 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -22.9% -30.3% 29% 24% -30.0%
≤30d 56 +8.0% -2.3% 36% 34% -26.8%
≤90d 325 +1.8% -7.9% 37% 28% -19.3%
all 436 -2.0% -11.3% 36% 27% -19.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 27% -19.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 24% -26.9%
15% -27.6% 20% -34.0%
20% -34.7% 16% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2277 history records