Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:43:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb04f…15a8
other · 30 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$19 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized+$24
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses3 / 14
Open positions13
Markets (closed)17 / 30
History coverage3d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 13 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36
7 days+$24
14 days+$24
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 16¢ 18¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 13¢ 13¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Yes 8¢ 6¢ $6 $4 −$1 (-20%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-23%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-8%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $5 $3 −$1 (-30%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-12%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-21%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-47%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 +$31 +596%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 +$40 +786%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 +$23 +442%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 8¢ $4 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $4 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes 3¢ $4 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 7¢ $3 2h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 13¢ $4 13h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 13¢ $4 13h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 16h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 5¢ $4 16h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 16h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 24h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 24h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 10¢ $7 24h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 29h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 29h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 14¢ $4 36h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 39h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)+13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +24.9% +13.0% 18% 18% +16.5%
≤30d 17 +24.9% +13.0% 18% 18% +16.5%
≤90d 17 +24.9% +13.0% 18% 18% +16.5%
all 17 +24.9% +13.0% 18% 18% +16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +13.0% 18% +16.5%
10% +2.2% 18% +5.3%
15% -7.7% 18% -4.9%
20% -16.7% 18% -14.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.89 · official $39.89 (match) · 45 history records