Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb04c…6a4d
crypto · 972 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$247 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$242 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$242
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses386 / 585
Open positions1
Markets (closed)971 / 972
History coverage28d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day64.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 971 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$9
14 days−$57
30 days−$242
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$11 +223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$19 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$16 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$12 +250%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$247
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 -4.3% -13.4% 34% 34% -11.1%
≤30d 971 -9.4% -18.1% 40% 38% -12.4%
≤90d 971 -9.4% -18.1% 40% 38% -12.4%
all 971 -9.4% -18.1% 40% 38% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 38% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.9% 36% -20.7%
15% -33.1% 35% -28.4%
20% -39.6% 33% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.06 · official $0.06 (match) · 2751 history records