Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb04a…a4c6
other · 57 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$49 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Net worth$0
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses13 / 44
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)57 / 57
History coverage587d
Avg bet$323
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 0 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $7 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 10 $12 $0 -0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 09 $7 $0 -0%
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec Jun 05 $13 $0 -0%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 04 $10 $0 -0%
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 03 $10 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $10 $0 -0%
Will Solana reach $100 in May? Jun 02 $16 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? Jun 02 $24 $0 +0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $74 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $13 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $11 $0 -0%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi May 24 $10 $0 -0%
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? May 23 $10 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $12 $0 -0%
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros May 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 12 $62 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 May 11 $66 $0 -0%
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 08 $66 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 07 $61 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 06 $61 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3? May 06 $27 $0 +0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 30 $60 $0 -0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April? Apr 24 $61 $0 -0%
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? Apr 23 $63 $0 -0%
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 23 $67 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 22 $64 $0 -0%
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 19 $63 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $67 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 18 $65 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $64 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 17 $67 $0 -0%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Magic Apr 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 10 $8 +$7 +79%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 10 $7 +$12 +165%
Heat vs. Raptors Apr 08 $8 +$7 +90%
Predators vs. Kings Apr 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? Apr 08 $16 −$16 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Apr 07 $14 +$4 +29%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? Apr 03 $22 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $140 in March? Apr 03 $44 $0 +1%
Capitals vs. Blues Mar 27 $28 −$28 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22? Mar 24 $20 +$18 +89%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Mar 05 $4 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $40 in February? Mar 05 $82 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? Feb 13 $82 $0 +1%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 04 $13,557 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 07 $3 $0 -1%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 18 $32 −$1 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 74% −$14
politics 17% −$11
other 5% +$19
crypto 2% +$2
sports 1% −$45
culture 0% $0
tech 0% $0
finance 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $7 1h
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $7 9h
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $12 2d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $12 2d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $7 3d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $7 3d
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec SELL No 100¢ $13 7d
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec BUY No 100¢ $13 7d
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $10 8d
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 99¢ $10 8d
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 9d
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 9d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 10d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 10d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $11 11d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $11 12d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $12 13d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $13 13d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $11 14d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $11 14d
Will Solana reach $100 in May? BUY No 100¢ $16 16d
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi SELL No 99¢ $10 19d
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi BUY No 100¢ $10 19d
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? BUY No 100¢ $24 19d
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $10 20d
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $12 21d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $12 21d
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros BUY Texas Rangers 57¢ $10 27d
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $62 31d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 16 -6.3% -15.3% 12% 0% -13.4%
≤90d 44 -3.4% -12.6% 23% 11% -11.0%
all 57 -2.8% -12.0% 23% 9% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.0% 9% -9.8%
10% -20.4% 9% -18.4%
15% -28.1% 7% -26.3%
20% -35.2% 7% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 250 history records