trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +17.6% | +6.4% | 57% | 57% | -12.3% |
| ≤30d | 26 | +11.5% | +0.9% | 58% | 58% | +0.9% |
| ≤90d | 37 | +6.3% | -3.9% | 59% | 59% | +6.3% |
| all | 37 | +6.3% | -3.9% | 59% | 59% | +6.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.9% | 59% | +6.3% |
| 10% | -13.1% | 51% | -3.8% |
| 15% | -21.5% | 35% | -13.1% |
| 20% | -29.2% | 30% | -21.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $102 | +$109 | +107% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $59 | −$59 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $472 | +$87 | +18% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $382 | +$86 | +23% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $111 | +$274 | +246% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $90 | +$22 | +24% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $202 | −$112 | -56% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $101 | +$94 | +93% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $586 | −$480 | -82% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $506 | −$506 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $257 | −$32 | -12% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $203 | −$203 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $204 | +$317 | +156% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $948 | +$273 | +29% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $748 | +$184 | +25% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | Jun 06 | $73 | −$73 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 06 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $308 | −$308 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $707 | +$218 | +31% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $549 | +$268 | +49% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $151 | +$202 | +133% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $204 | −$180 | -88% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $192 | +$141 | +73% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $220 | +$275 | +125% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | May 19 | $506 | −$473 | -93% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $1,019 | +$1,020 | +100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $386 | +$298 | +77% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | May 17 | $301 | +$51 | +17% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | May 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | May 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | May 16 | $402 | +$287 | +71% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 16 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $304 | +$99 | +32% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 16 | $132 | +$96 | +73% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $208 | +$82 | +40% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | May 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $150 | +$32 | +21% |