Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T12:48:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb039…c6d9 sports 67 markets active 0h ago coverage 54d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$2,027 (-6%) realized −$2,001 · open −$26
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate61%40W / 26L
Whale WR59%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$542per market
Trades / day7.3pace
Fees−$291est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,175
7 days+$2,175
14 days+$2,175
30 days+$395
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$1,046
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +23.7% +11.9% 100% 86% +14.1%
≤30d 12 -7.6% -16.4% 75% 50% -6.2%
≤90d 66 -13.5% -21.8% 61% 41% -11.4%
all 66 -13.5% -21.8% 61% 41% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.8% 41% -11.4%
10% -29.3% 24% -19.9%
15% -36.1% 15% -27.6%
20% -42.4% 8% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 59% (≥$629) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -7% → late -20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$116 vs −$218 · ×0.53 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

54d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,001
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses40 / 26
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$291
Open positions1
Markets (closed)66 / 67
History coverage54d
Avg bet$542
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 66 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Dplus KIA vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage LOS 16¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 18 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs C9 Jun 27 $738 +$2 +0%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage Jun 27 $1,803 +$941 +52%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage Jun 27 $2,794 +$513 +18%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage Jun 26 $948 +$295 +31%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Cloud9 (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage Jun 26 $823 +$120 +15%
LoL Cross Regional 2026: DK vs FLY Jun 26 $628 +$199 +32%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Cloud9 (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage Jun 26 $596 +$105 +18%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 May 30 $909 −$887 -98%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 1 Winner May 30 $202 −$200 -99%
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Playoffs May 28 $126 +$11 +8%
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winner May 28 $355 +$19 +6%
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winner May 28 $981 −$724 -74%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - May 25 $1 $0 +18%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 22 $17 −$17 -97%
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffs May 22 $504 +$89 +18%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 22 $1 $0 +23%
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs May 20 $2,146 −$395 -18%
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner May 20 $729 −$5 -1%
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner May 20 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winner May 19 $1 +$2 +215%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 19 $179 −$16 -9%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 19 $369 −$177 -48%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 May 18 $630 +$64 +10%
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Chal May 18 $299 −$74 -25%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 18 $205 −$1 -0%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 18 $356 +$114 +32%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner May 17 $363 +$30 +8%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner May 17 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner May 17 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 15 $1,784 −$632 -35%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner May 15 $369 +$380 +103%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) May 15 $1,043 −$20 -2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Gam May 15 $581 −$445 -77%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Gam May 15 $456 +$63 +14%
LoL: Barça eSports vs FALKE Esports - Game 1 Winner May 13 $104 +$1 +1%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 13 $187 +$212 +113%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea May 13 $1,251 −$345 -28%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner May 13 $452 +$89 +20%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 13 $544 +$5 +1%
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner May 12 $311 +$39 +12%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 12 $432 +$18 +4%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 12 $425 +$6 +2%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner May 11 $351 +$79 +23%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winne May 11 $488 −$485 -99%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winne May 11 $629 +$255 +40%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner May 09 $502 +$60 +12%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 09 $2 +$2 +93%
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner May 09 $64 −$39 -61%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner May 06 $79 −$79 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 06 $258 −$255 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs C9 SELL C9 100¢ $740 18m
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs C9 BUY C9 100¢ $737 21m
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs C9 BUY C9 78¢ $1 23m
LoL: DN SOOPers vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage SELL DN SOOPers 100¢ $2,745 1h
LoL: DN SOOPers vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY DN SOOPers 91¢ $333 1h
LoL: DN SOOPers vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY DN SOOPers 61¢ $931 1h
LoL: DN SOOPers vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY DN SOOPers 61¢ $298 1h
LoL: DN SOOPers vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY DN SOOPers 61¢ $74 1h
LoL: DN SOOPers vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY DN SOOPers 61¢ $3 1h
LoL: DN SOOPers vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY DN SOOPers 61¢ $3 1h
LoL: DN SOOPers vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY DN SOOPers 61¢ $3 1h
LoL: DN SOOPers vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY DN SOOPers 61¢ $3 1h
LoL: DN SOOPers vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY DN SOOPers 61¢ $149 1h
LoL: DN SOOPers vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY DN SOOPers 61¢ $3 1h
LoL: DN SOOPers vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY DN SOOPers 61¢ $3 1h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage SELL FlyQuest 100¢ $1,689 2h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY FlyQuest 97¢ $1,001 2h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY FlyQuest 76¢ $302 2h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY FlyQuest 76¢ $201 2h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage SELL Kiwoom DRX 26¢ $182 2h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage SELL FlyQuest 80¢ $1,436 2h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY Kiwoom DRX 8¢ $13 2h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY Kiwoom DRX 5¢ $2 2h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY Kiwoom DRX 5¢ $2 2h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY Kiwoom DRX 5¢ $0 2h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY Kiwoom DRX 5¢ $1 2h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY Kiwoom DRX 5¢ $3 2h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY Kiwoom DRX 5¢ $3 2h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY Kiwoom DRX 4¢ $4 2h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY Kiwoom DRX 3¢ $7 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.08 · official $0.08 (match) · 420 history records