Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T14:48:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb036…5c79 crypto 198 markets active 0h ago coverage 227d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,826 (-7%) realized −$1,826 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate62%123W / 75L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$131per market
Trades / day4.7pace
Fees−$8est.
Kalshi-fit77%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$103
7 days+$103
14 days+$103
30 days+$103
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 58% −$1,056
other 31% −$71
sports 10% −$543
world 1% −$226
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -1.5% -10.9% 56% 47% -4.7%
≤30d 45 -1.5% -10.9% 56% 47% -4.7%
≤90d 91 -12.7% -21.0% 54% 42% -24.5%
all 198 -6.4% -15.3% 62% 41% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.3% 41% -16.0%
10% -23.5% 27% -24.1%
15% -30.8% 18% -31.4%
20% -37.6% 12% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -17% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
34% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -15% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$36 vs −$85 · ×0.42 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

227d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,826
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses123 / 75
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)198 / 198
History coverage227d
Avg bet$131
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 198 Trades
no open positions (19 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 23 $152 −$150 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 23 $122 −$22 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 23 $38 +$62 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 23 $90 +$48 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 23 $63 −$13 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 23 $71 +$29 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $38 +$62 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 23 $143 +$51 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 23 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 23 $29 +$71 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 23 $47 +$53 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $49 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 23 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 23 $36 +$24 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 23 $38 −$36 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 23 $83 −$54 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 23 $32 −$10 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $64 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 23 $22 −$15 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 23 $97 +$18 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $137 +$107 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 23 $39 −$38 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 23 $43 −$23 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 23 $15 +$5 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 23 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 23 $71 −$18 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 23 $27 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 23 $105 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 23 $109 −$8 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 23 $39 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 23 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 23 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 23 $40 +$20 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 23 $125 +$75 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 23 $130 +$80 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 23 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 23 $82 +$18 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 23 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 23 $108 +$22 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 23 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 22 $58 +$42 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 22 $61 +$59 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 22 $24 +$6 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 22 $162 −$161 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 22 $39 −$34 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 22 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 22 $169 +$96 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 22 $59 +$41 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $35 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $16 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $15 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $27 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $93 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $32 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $90 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $32 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $0 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $19 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $22 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $13 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $11 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $30 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $39 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $24 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $0 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1234 history records